{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "42ccb21d-4183-4061-afc1-4521db5c8957",
    "symbol": "PWH",
    "name": "PWR Holdings Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 54.29,
    "architecture_energy": 53.893,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.991,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.268,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.95,
        "rotation_up": 74.2,
        "upward_expansion": 53.36,
        "deceleration": 32.22,
        "rotation_down": 18.78,
        "downward_expansion": 16.36
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        9.897333,
        9.277273,
        9.085524,
        9.083299
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 10.73,
    "trend_reference": 9.13276,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.174891,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 9.037251,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.187308,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 17.876977,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.275141,
    "excess_performance": 0.211435,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.174891,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036115,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.187308,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.212026,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.17877,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105163,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.275141,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.961924,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1319701,
      "relative_activity": 2.380479,
      "balance": 4.961924,
      "dry_up": 1.90325,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.071797,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.355861,
      "from_high_reference": -0.010148,
      "from_low_reference": 0.586588
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 9.13276,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.037251,
      "structural_low": 7.81,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.045112,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.069046,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.084195,
        "worst_return": -0.11,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.053277,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012651,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.228412,
        "worst_return": -0.3029,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.087971,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.106185,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.235432,
        "worst_return": 0.024956,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.062463,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.123358,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.193152,
        "worst_return": -0.134389,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-01",
        "end": "2024-03-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.041595,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.033766,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.034572,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.043434,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.19849,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.043766,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.042027,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.037262,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.092732,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.082448,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.11573,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.028049,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.10838,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 850645.4,
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      },
      {
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      {
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      {
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
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        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -4.122393,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 9.008833,
        "relative_strength": -1.167073,
        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.731754,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 864991,
        "typical_volume": 536539.75,
        "trend": 8.933001,
        "fair_value": 9.010706,
        "relative_strength": 4.783106,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.598296,
        "energy": 42.037684,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.476,
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          8.749,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 9.6,
        "volume": 841033,
        "typical_volume": 524744.9,
        "trend": 8.99677,
        "fair_value": 9.01656,
        "relative_strength": 12.336338,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -7.597324,
        "energy": 9.824756,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.890667,
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          8.815667,
          8.916309
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.92,
        "volume": 1194805,
        "typical_volume": 538637.1,
        "trend": 9.064891,
        "fair_value": 9.025024,
        "relative_strength": 12.946319,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.049138,
        "energy": 31.191718,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.327333,
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          8.913762,
          8.975872
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.73,
        "volume": 1319701,
        "typical_volume": 554384.6,
        "trend": 9.13276,
        "fair_value": 9.037251,
        "relative_strength": 17.876977,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 54.289718,
        "energy": 53.893187,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.897333,
          9.277273,
          9.085524,
          9.083299
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}