{ "ticker": { "uuid": "42d15d74-4165-4d56-a4af-e2f56fb199bf", "symbol": "000518", "name": "Jiangsu Sihuan Bioengineering Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.517, "architecture_energy": 48.159, "architecture_maturity": 28.0, "architecture_confidence": 82.869, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.07, "rotation_up": 61.58, "upward_expansion": 79.39, "deceleration": 55.04, "rotation_down": 16.39, "downward_expansion": 6.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.836, 3.681091, 3.519905, 3.358172 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.17, "trend_reference": 3.132, "distance_from_trend": 0.331418, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.650962, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.573014, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 43.639923, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.603846, "excess_performance": 0.596446, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.331418, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.128107, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.573014, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.370298, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.436399, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.434366, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.603846, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.821916, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 218194799, "relative_activity": 1.090713, "balance": 0.821916, "dry_up": 1.326095, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.124885, "annualized_volatility": 0.608872, "from_high_reference": -0.081498, "from_low_reference": 0.886878 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.132, "fair_value_reference": 2.650962, "structural_low": 2.54, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.006591, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": 0.021262, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.409556, "worst_return": -0.298246, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.123967, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.004957, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.345161, "worst_return": -0.255882, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.22865, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.194376, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.260163, "worst_return": -0.435294, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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43.435462, "activity_lines": [ 3.525333, 3.469636, 3.309857, 3.159333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.89, "volume": 369224630, "typical_volume": 179497754.2, "trend": 2.999333, "fair_value": 2.62891, "relative_strength": 42.34782, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.714368, "energy": 60.603041, "activity_lines": [ 3.695333, 3.552182, 3.37881, 3.219914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.47, "volume": 253548712, "typical_volume": 189040315.65, "trend": 3.034333, "fair_value": 2.634615, "relative_strength": 25.953657, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.131786, "energy": 53.752535, "activity_lines": [ 3.675333, 3.544, 3.402381, 3.25028 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.61, "volume": 220162021, "typical_volume": 194927842.2, "trend": 3.073333, "fair_value": 2.64109, "relative_strength": 32.163005, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.500122, "energy": 47.218881, "activity_lines": [ 3.678667, 3.556909, 3.436143, 3.287419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.17, "volume": 218194799, "typical_volume": 200047905.6, "trend": 3.132, "fair_value": 2.650962, "relative_strength": 43.639923, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.516876, "energy": 48.159422, "activity_lines": [ 3.836, 3.681091, 3.519905, 3.358172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }