{ "ticker": { "uuid": "42d27d24-1b15-441e-a9a4-0776bac69f43", "symbol": "DUKE", "name": "Duke Energy Corporation", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 95.351, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 28.525, "architecture_energy": 19.012, "architecture_maturity": 32.198, "architecture_confidence": 40.206, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.93, "rotation_up": 38.11, "upward_expansion": 62.9, "deceleration": 63.69, "rotation_down": 23.42, "downward_expansion": 15.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 110.179999, 110.530909, 109.41139, 109.114757 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 107.849998, "trend_reference": 107.88942, "distance_from_trend": -0.000365, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 95.274726, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.13199, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.572587, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.069652, "excess_performance": -0.104595, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.000365, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031717, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.13199, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00086, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.165726, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027773, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.069652, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029824, "annualized_volatility": 0.184287, "from_high_reference": -0.06502, "from_low_reference": 0.129937 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 107.88942, "fair_value_reference": 95.274726, "structural_low": 99.847321, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.004153, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.009631, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.12118, "worst_return": -0.158954, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.004622, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.020975, "regime_survival": 0.272727, "best_return": 0.135665, "worst_return": -0.113816, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.095093, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.046901, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.15916, "worst_return": -0.071855, 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"Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.345474, "energy": 44.844685, "activity_lines": [ 109.256667, 108.001857, 108.348747, 107.353132 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 113.199997, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 26.05, "trend": 105.705959, "fair_value": 94.105424, "relative_strength": -13.350956, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.458261, "energy": 71.310219, "activity_lines": [ 110.9, 109.052139, 108.783562, 107.866978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 109.599998, "volume": 180, "typical_volume": 35.05, "trend": 106.167248, "fair_value": 94.340492, "relative_strength": -14.686914, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.096073, "energy": 62.559416, "activity_lines": [ 110.826666, 109.350635, 108.843877, 108.118206 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 111.300003, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 35.05, "trend": 106.613675, "fair_value": 94.574616, "relative_strength": -11.362963, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.18552, "energy": 66.727027, "activity_lines": [ 111.176667, 109.933636, 109.048297, 108.449351 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 114.150002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16.05, "trend": 107.190376, "fair_value": 94.824189, "relative_strength": -10.045853, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.996541, "energy": 70.978527, "activity_lines": [ 112.226667, 110.912728, 109.517389, 108.935566 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 109.699997, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 9.0, "trend": 107.582163, "fair_value": 95.064973, "relative_strength": -13.07368, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.940139, "energy": 35.52251, "activity_lines": [ 111.426666, 110.909091, 109.549225, 109.097477 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 107.849998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 9.0, "trend": 107.88942, "fair_value": 95.274726, "relative_strength": -16.572587, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.525122, "energy": 19.011818, "activity_lines": [ 110.179999, 110.530909, 109.41139, 109.114757 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }