{ "ticker": { "uuid": "42d3b3eb-6cbf-4e82-b4d8-457bdd8f85fe", "symbol": "CCJ", "name": "Cameco Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 73.544, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.422, "architecture_energy": 63.028, "architecture_maturity": 16.128, "architecture_confidence": 90.54, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.38, "rotation_up": 13.51, "upward_expansion": 13.14, "deceleration": 39.62, "rotation_down": 68.44, "downward_expansion": 88.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 90.885333, 93.726727, 100.227714, 103.765054 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 97.39, "trend_reference": 108.403667, "distance_from_trend": -0.101599, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 65.668708, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.48305, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.537658, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.14292, "excess_performance": -0.268545, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.101599, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015347, "read": "Rising" 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83.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.17306, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.139188, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.334167, "worst_return": 0.023174, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.348799, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.270409, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.751614, "worst_return": 0.072257, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.333631, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.193665, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.0459, "worst_return": 0.055139, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"typical_volume": 16176155.05, "trend": 109.148667, "fair_value": 64.92593, "relative_strength": -17.414997, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.925681, "energy": 74.835103, "activity_lines": [ 91.154667, 96.301455, 102.894762, 105.96643 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 86.38, "volume": 19317851, "typical_volume": 16003811.6, "trend": 108.742667, "fair_value": 65.266172, "relative_strength": -19.657155, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.82627, "energy": 76.437501, "activity_lines": [ 88.581333, 93.846182, 100.985667, 104.497484 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 97.39, "volume": 16100077, "typical_volume": 15901149.7, "trend": 108.403667, "fair_value": 65.668708, "relative_strength": -12.537658, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.422264, "energy": 63.027576, "activity_lines": [ 90.885333, 93.726727, 100.227714, 103.765054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }