{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "42d5f01c-83ff-4fb2-812c-4ee2a5cbe2c6",
    "symbol": "TMCO34",
    "name": "Toyota Motor Corporation",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -35.628,
    "architecture_energy": 23.514,
    "architecture_maturity": 88.225,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.631,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.98,
        "rotation_up": 28.59,
        "upward_expansion": 21.1,
        "deceleration": 46.94,
        "rotation_down": 23.33,
        "downward_expansion": 57.43
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        58.805332,
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        60.730989
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 60.52,
    "trend_reference": 64.749319,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.065318,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 63.027039,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.039777,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.863775,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.240747,
    "excess_performance": -0.183699,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.065318,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.061022,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039777,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020318,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.118638,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.14058,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.240747,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.801797,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2473,
      "relative_activity": 0.304412,
      "balance": 1.801797,
      "dry_up": 1.258024,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.043774,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.25733,
      "from_high_reference": -0.247847,
      "from_low_reference": 0.100364
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 64.749319,
      "fair_value_reference": 63.027039,
      "structural_low": 55.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": 0.020023,
        "positive_rate": 0.631579,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.368421,
        "median_excess_return": 0.032965,
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        "best_return": 0.110461,
        "worst_return": -0.063633,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.035511,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.129084,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.062555,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": 0.105361,
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        "worst_return": -0.148869,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -57.573107,
        "energy": 63.63439,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 59.799999,
        "volume": 14372,
        "typical_volume": 9060.9,
        "trend": 69.920296,
        "fair_value": 61.81166,
        "relative_strength": -25.714727,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -80.947837,
        "energy": 81.007846,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 8439.45,
        "trend": 69.750403,
        "fair_value": 61.921198,
        "relative_strength": -25.921759,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "direction": -81.389076,
        "energy": 88.722985,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 60.439999,
        "volume": 14651,
        "typical_volume": 8625.95,
        "trend": 69.560803,
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        "relative_strength": -19.69215,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "energy": 82.892736,
        "activity_lines": [
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          68.526217
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 59.0,
        "volume": 13779,
        "typical_volume": 8722.0,
        "trend": 69.236418,
        "fair_value": 62.160839,
        "relative_strength": -20.710822,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.734035,
        "energy": 82.763231,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 59.990002,
        "volume": 20610,
        "typical_volume": 9666.35,
        "trend": 68.957243,
        "fair_value": 62.275574,
        "relative_strength": -17.728278,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.330784,
        "energy": 69.95116,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 56.990002,
        "volume": 1620,
        "typical_volume": 9502.35,
        "trend": 68.651983,
        "fair_value": 62.369465,
        "relative_strength": -19.166652,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.60897,
        "energy": 68.310505,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 55.669998,
        "volume": 1238,
        "typical_volume": 8705.8,
        "trend": 68.339351,
        "fair_value": 62.431218,
        "relative_strength": -21.592246,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -77.965154,
        "energy": 79.291824,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 56.5,
        "volume": 32,
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        "trend": 68.003568,
        "fair_value": 62.517245,
        "relative_strength": -18.874697,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.714072,
        "energy": 75.599918,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 55.27,
        "volume": 1616,
        "typical_volume": 7670.0,
        "trend": 67.598737,
        "fair_value": 62.584505,
        "relative_strength": -22.395305,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.32945,
        "energy": 84.843736,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.222,
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          60.710443,
          64.053355
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 57.0,
        "volume": 914,
        "typical_volume": 7534.75,
        "trend": 67.290511,
        "fair_value": 62.655322,
        "relative_strength": -20.135829,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.164483,
        "energy": 73.283032,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 56.57,
        "volume": 4135,
        "typical_volume": 7530.4,
        "trend": 66.851798,
        "fair_value": 62.731873,
        "relative_strength": -21.960625,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.028462,
        "energy": 61.237725,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.355333,
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          62.677919
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 56.669998,
        "volume": 4499,
        "typical_volume": 7699.1,
        "trend": 66.22338,
        "fair_value": 62.803683,
        "relative_strength": -19.550783,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.561519,
        "energy": 56.771206,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.511333,
          56.771636,
          58.802146,
          62.021029
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 56.389999,
        "volume": 13116,
        "typical_volume": 7782.35,
        "trend": 65.595528,
        "fair_value": 62.870411,
        "relative_strength": -19.506792,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.145961,
        "energy": 56.312347,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.507332,
          56.586181,
          58.326599,
          61.386618
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 60.099998,
        "volume": 20792,
        "typical_volume": 8091.75,
        "trend": 65.186707,
        "fair_value": 62.945795,
        "relative_strength": -15.627285,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -44.341788,
        "energy": 35.940078,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.747332,
          57.148908,
          58.27461,
          61.032067
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 60.52,
        "volume": 2473,
        "typical_volume": 8123.85,
        "trend": 64.749319,
        "fair_value": 63.027039,
        "relative_strength": -11.863775,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.628413,
        "energy": 23.51377,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.805332,
          57.767999,
          58.30608,
          60.730989
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}