{ "ticker": { "uuid": "42df02da-c119-4fa3-a833-267cfdb02ae7", "symbol": "FCN", "name": "FTI Consulting Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.35, "architecture_energy": 18.544, "architecture_maturity": 52.943, "architecture_confidence": 65.405, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.25, "rotation_up": 25.62, "upward_expansion": 16.94, "deceleration": 44.33, "rotation_down": 27.68, "downward_expansion": 53.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 157.066667, 156.217818, 157.81581, 160.905054 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 151.43, "trend_reference": 164.972667, "distance_from_trend": -0.08209, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 185.817949, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.185063, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.631116, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.153691, "excess_performance": -0.279316, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.08209, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027012, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.185063, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053594, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.186311, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052621, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.153691, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.780139, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2450371, "relative_activity": 1.093779, "balance": 0.780139, "dry_up": 0.901792, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086921, "annualized_volatility": 0.367382, "from_high_reference": -0.200053, "from_low_reference": 0.100109 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 164.972667, "fair_value_reference": 185.817949, 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 159.79, "volume": 1708908, "typical_volume": 2208867.45, "trend": 166.173333, "fair_value": 186.207756, "relative_strength": -11.042472, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.253513, "energy": 17.680706, "activity_lines": [ 158.534, 156.348909, 159.313238, 162.271075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 159.38, "volume": 2499541, "typical_volume": 2240184.0, "trend": 165.81, "fair_value": 186.047949, "relative_strength": -11.843515, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.326612, "energy": 17.601506, "activity_lines": [ 159.401333, 157.054182, 158.935476, 161.832796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 151.43, "volume": 2450371, "typical_volume": 2240280.1, "trend": 164.972667, "fair_value": 185.817949, "relative_strength": -18.631116, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.350189, "energy": 18.544442, "activity_lines": [ 157.066667, 156.217818, 157.81581, 160.905054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }