{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "42e046bd-098e-49e1-97b2-f091803c2814",
    "symbol": "AAREYDRUGS",
    "name": "Aarey Drugs & Pharmaceuticals Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 49.839,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 7.621,
    "architecture_energy": 15.704,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.472,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.315,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 64.34,
        "rotation_up": 16.7,
        "upward_expansion": 40.57,
        "deceleration": 85.79,
        "rotation_down": 40.8,
        "downward_expansion": 34.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        78.928001,
        80.643819,
        81.50481,
        79.36729
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 81.470001,
    "trend_reference": 76.271333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.06816,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 60.78359,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.340329,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 6.570202,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.212712,
    "excess_performance": 0.256421,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06816,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008738,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.340329,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.281001,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065702,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.257104,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.212712,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.928184,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 431444,
      "relative_activity": 1.188969,
      "balance": 0.928184,
      "dry_up": 0.491516,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.083372,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.68012,
      "from_high_reference": -0.1853,
      "from_low_reference": 0.61936
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 76.271333,
      "fair_value_reference": 60.78359,
      "structural_low": 50.310001,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.033195,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.03871,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.399637,
        "worst_return": -0.250384,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.086392,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.130716,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.679803,
        "worst_return": 0.026345,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.287617,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.2497,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.37931,
        "worst_return": 0.005269,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.352856,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.188769,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.486043,
        "worst_return": 0.219668,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.091411,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.164684,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.025515,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.019949,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.062597,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.008649,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.135059,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.219819,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.509589,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.031133,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.155015,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.188182,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-07-17",
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        "return": -0.117474,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.051226,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 1134700.05,
        "trend": 75.954667,
        "fair_value": 56.415513,
        "relative_strength": 33.190957,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 991236.4,
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        "fair_value": 57.206667,
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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        "energy": 66.119343,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 258007,
        "typical_volume": 908886.65,
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 34.88917,
        "energy": 59.978275,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 829150.85,
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        "fair_value": 57.861026,
        "relative_strength": 11.945796,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 30.580992,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 104250,
        "typical_volume": 805905.75,
        "trend": 74.963333,
        "fair_value": 58.164808,
        "relative_strength": 11.779604,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.88493,
        "energy": 23.343707,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 77.849998,
        "volume": 67719,
        "typical_volume": 759876.65,
        "trend": 74.358333,
        "fair_value": 58.448462,
        "relative_strength": 9.830857,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 128321,
        "typical_volume": 703609.7,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 23.204852,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 59.143974,
        "relative_strength": 26.192572,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 37.086,
        "activity_lines": [
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          77.494344
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 84.870003,
        "volume": 5871,
        "typical_volume": 585217.85,
        "trend": 74.524666,
        "fair_value": 59.475513,
        "relative_strength": 14.287861,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.989365,
        "energy": 35.319538,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.246,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 82.830002,
        "volume": 134213,
        "typical_volume": 502365.1,
        "trend": 75.046666,
        "fair_value": 59.796538,
        "relative_strength": 11.416173,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.738823,
        "energy": 39.764625,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.078668,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 74.900002,
        "volume": 24656,
        "typical_volume": 402767.4,
        "trend": 75.259666,
        "fair_value": 60.063205,
        "relative_strength": -0.050094,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.961854,
        "energy": 18.541353,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.935335,
          82.059818,
          81.37081,
          78.708043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 77.5,
        "volume": 110655,
        "typical_volume": 380338.55,
        "trend": 75.484,
        "fair_value": 60.348462,
        "relative_strength": 5.481092,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 11.56059,
        "energy": 13.027568,
        "activity_lines": [
          79.855335,
          81.154,
          81.316714,
          78.852581
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 77.860001,
        "volume": 146676,
        "typical_volume": 372541.55,
        "trend": 75.868,
        "fair_value": 60.578333,
        "relative_strength": 2.993591,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 6.39556,
        "energy": 17.173881,
        "activity_lines": [
          78.302001,
          80.517273,
          81.269048,
          79.005871
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 81.470001,
        "volume": 431444,
        "typical_volume": 362872.4,
        "trend": 76.271333,
        "fair_value": 60.78359,
        "relative_strength": 6.570202,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 7.620709,
        "energy": 15.704017,
        "activity_lines": [
          78.928001,
          80.643819,
          81.50481,
          79.36729
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}