{ "ticker": { "uuid": "42e08c79-9932-4c69-99b0-09385e4afded", "symbol": "VC", "name": "Visteon Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 88.752, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 7.011, "architecture_energy": 9.835, "architecture_maturity": 12.482, "architecture_confidence": 68.415, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.05, "rotation_up": 19.51, "upward_expansion": 40.3, "deceleration": 80.45, "rotation_down": 36.35, "downward_expansion": 36.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 104.422667, 105.562364, 107.842227, 105.354007 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 104.13, "trend_reference": 101.942159, "distance_from_trend": 0.021462, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 103.804373, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.003137, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.708769, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.039355, "excess_performance": -0.148099, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.021462, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02377, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.003137, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06481, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.137088, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063079, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.039355, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.478011, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1945396, "relative_activity": 0.69241, "balance": 0.478011, "dry_up": 0.871957, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099769, "annualized_volatility": 0.364939, "from_high_reference": -0.18547, "from_low_reference": 0.251174 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 101.942159, "fair_value_reference": 103.804373, "structural_low": 83.225847, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.025222, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": 0.007049, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.134861, "worst_return": -0.220209, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.077401, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.101049, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.513865, "worst_return": -0.16722, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.019757, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.017823, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.290757, 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"activity_lines": [ 106.533333, 110.043, 107.883614, 104.618773 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 104.85, "volume": 1968502, "typical_volume": 2876930.4, "trend": 101.327436, "fair_value": 104.558999, "relative_strength": -11.14242, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.320466, "energy": 20.547891, "activity_lines": [ 105.192667, 108.797993, 108.010542, 104.858283 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 103.75, "volume": 3058787, "typical_volume": 2881316.4, "trend": 101.56535, "fair_value": 104.259189, "relative_strength": -10.172099, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.309583, "energy": 13.424793, "activity_lines": [ 104.391333, 107.519136, 107.985776, 105.014578 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 104.54, "volume": 2826716, "typical_volume": 2894421.5, "trend": 101.843498, "fair_value": 103.993448, "relative_strength": -9.509021, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.399278, "energy": 10.846781, "activity_lines": [ 104.524, 106.500104, 107.970982, 105.206491 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 104.13, "volume": 1945396, "typical_volume": 2809599.55, "trend": 101.942159, "fair_value": 103.804373, "relative_strength": -13.708769, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.011063, "energy": 9.835128, "activity_lines": [ 104.422667, 105.562364, 107.842227, 105.354007 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }