{ "ticker": { "uuid": "42ec742c-8dfa-4221-a4a7-d4566c5536a3", "symbol": "GEOO34", "name": "General Electric Company", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.287, "architecture_energy": 40.565, "architecture_maturity": 48.649, "architecture_confidence": 65.271, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.99, "rotation_up": 41.29, "upward_expansion": 65.11, "deceleration": 67.77, "rotation_down": 25.03, "downward_expansion": 17.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 92.151001, 92.291506, 87.189893, 84.696219 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 94.400002, "trend_reference": 82.691149, "distance_from_trend": 0.141597, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 54.268549, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.739497, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.401244, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.141729, "excess_performance": 0.198777, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.141597, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037806, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.739497, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.216181, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.114012, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.310696, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.141729, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.36586, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3731, "relative_activity": 0.260731, "balance": 6.36586, "dry_up": 0.777355, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063201, "annualized_volatility": 0.323561, "from_high_reference": -0.065194, "from_low_reference": 0.41037 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 82.691149, "fair_value_reference": 54.268549, "structural_low": 66.932808, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.019217, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.053289, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.233193, "worst_return": -0.084965, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.109507, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.145736, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.132759, "worst_return": 0.096725, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.155927, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.082305, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.380725, "worst_return": -0.104802, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.128414, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.197963, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.125662, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.085442, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.029492, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.056962, "active": false 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64.682559, "energy": 73.27501, "activity_lines": [ 92.685482, 89.910235, 84.001093, 82.707572 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 91.75, "volume": 25840, "typical_volume": 14985.0, "trend": 82.270265, "fair_value": 53.222799, "relative_strength": 7.148651, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.766393, "energy": 53.601673, "activity_lines": [ 92.15462, 90.905616, 85.032382, 83.33104 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 91.440002, "volume": 2344, "typical_volume": 14366.2, "trend": 82.409472, "fair_value": 53.736992, "relative_strength": 4.607619, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.045867, "energy": 41.224322, "activity_lines": [ 91.520067, 91.476278, 85.99788, 83.922636 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 94.400002, "volume": 3731, "typical_volume": 14309.75, "trend": 82.691149, "fair_value": 54.268549, "relative_strength": 11.401244, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.287045, "energy": 40.565041, "activity_lines": [ 92.151001, 92.291506, 87.189893, 84.696219 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }