{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "42ee31f3-e5fe-43e6-b2bd-885e2a54ad48",
    "symbol": "EURL",
    "name": "DIREXION DAILY FTSE EUROPE BULL 3X ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 77.22,
    "architecture_energy": 67.692,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.105,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.99,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.56,
        "rotation_up": 65.03,
        "upward_expansion": 84.96,
        "deceleration": 48.43,
        "rotation_down": 13.16,
        "downward_expansion": 13.96
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        48.669387,
        47.427604,
        46.085992,
        45.154326
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 52.06,
    "trend_reference": 44.732362,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.163811,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.1419,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.727164,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 11.830077,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.081415,
    "excess_performance": -0.04421,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.163811,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058431,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.727164,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130829,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.118301,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076692,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081415,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.829886,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 89270,
      "relative_activity": 0.534577,
      "balance": 0.829886,
      "dry_up": 0.400455,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.067285,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.55451,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003446,
      "from_low_reference": 0.609788
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 44.732362,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.1419,
      "structural_low": 33.408581,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": 0.025294,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009506,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": 0.385078,
        "worst_return": -0.320024,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001419,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.310905,
        "worst_return": -0.148463,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.167632,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.539341,
        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 26.695029,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 265942.3,
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        "energy": 30.712312,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "relative_strength": 4.160904,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 279063.45,
        "trend": 41.711723,
        "fair_value": 28.177064,
        "relative_strength": -4.547463,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 14.456933,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 279902.4,
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        "relative_strength": 3.771081,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "relative_strength": 2.929653,
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        "energy": 23.430383,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -1.59123,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 9.756545,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 148433,
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        "fair_value": 28.807346,
        "relative_strength": 6.267222,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 33.461911,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 2.481165,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 22.402133,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 47.38,
        "volume": 80765,
        "typical_volume": 238019.95,
        "trend": 43.726105,
        "fair_value": 29.308001,
        "relative_strength": 7.297509,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 41.828336,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 45.9701,
        "volume": 88771,
        "typical_volume": 227403.5,
        "trend": 43.959538,
        "fair_value": 29.459555,
        "relative_strength": 2.528802,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.174108,
        "energy": 36.032557,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.019249,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 45.9656,
        "volume": 61275,
        "typical_volume": 217732.85,
        "trend": 44.154443,
        "fair_value": 29.610302,
        "relative_strength": 3.853114,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.038409,
        "energy": 30.974058,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.017004,
          45.597972,
          44.535315,
          44.284006
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 45.4801,
        "volume": 56982,
        "typical_volume": 192565.3,
        "trend": 44.268959,
        "fair_value": 29.757459,
        "relative_strength": 3.195164,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.949856,
        "energy": 33.342859,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.87428,
          45.678973,
          44.768949,
          44.369532
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 48.8498,
        "volume": 59964,
        "typical_volume": 178947.7,
        "trend": 44.476542,
        "fair_value": 29.939472,
        "relative_strength": 9.101613,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.487026,
        "energy": 44.38281,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.892427,
          46.294311,
          45.301123,
          44.66507
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 52.06,
        "volume": 89270,
        "typical_volume": 166991.9,
        "trend": 44.732362,
        "fair_value": 30.1419,
        "relative_strength": 11.830077,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.220163,
        "energy": 67.692165,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.669387,
          47.427604,
          46.085992,
          45.154326
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}