{ "ticker": { "uuid": "42f290b5-733e-4675-bac1-c93781d2e17f", "symbol": "BEPC", "name": "Brookfield Renewable Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.362, "architecture_energy": 74.259, "architecture_maturity": 21.579, "architecture_confidence": 88.948, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.48, "rotation_up": 10.93, "upward_expansion": 17.38, "deceleration": 37.26, "rotation_down": 73.55, "downward_expansion": 93.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.705333, 34.742364, 36.101048, 37.112904 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 33.74, "trend_reference": 38.329461, "distance_from_trend": -0.119737, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 34.00905, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.007911, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.591631, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.180372, "excess_performance": -0.305997, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.119737, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031861, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.007911, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08806, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.205916, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.091921, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.180372, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.597957, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10978423, "relative_activity": 1.42279, "balance": 0.597957, "dry_up": 1.302196, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069149, "annualized_volatility": 0.326779, "from_high_reference": -0.238969, "from_low_reference": 0.07071 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.329461, "fair_value_reference": 34.00905, "structural_low": 31.82, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.086051, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.089072, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.086051, "worst_return": -0.086051, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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"fair_value": 34.020232, "relative_strength": -17.892186, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.6322, "energy": 69.919782, "activity_lines": [ 34.612667, 35.801016, 36.884408, 37.75802 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.35, "volume": 10117570, "typical_volume": 7547929.3, "trend": 38.448086, "fair_value": 34.012253, "relative_strength": -18.983858, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.17264, "energy": 76.465846, "activity_lines": [ 33.948667, 35.201818, 36.461087, 37.416652 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.74, "volume": 10978423, "typical_volume": 7716122.85, "trend": 38.329461, "fair_value": 34.00905, "relative_strength": -20.591631, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.362474, "energy": 74.259063, "activity_lines": [ 33.705333, 34.742364, 36.101048, 37.112904 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }