{ "ticker": { "uuid": "42f967c6-12cd-41b8-bba0-3eb4c941f131", "symbol": "G20", "name": "GP Industries Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 91.02, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.3, "architecture_energy": 55.487, "architecture_maturity": 52.207, "architecture_confidence": 47.668, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.04, "rotation_up": 44.34, "upward_expansion": 75.1, "deceleration": 76.76, "rotation_down": 28.01, "downward_expansion": 8.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.586941, 0.585703, 0.57499, 0.562155 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.6, "trend_reference": 0.54673, "distance_from_trend": 0.097433, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.492483, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.218317, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.617352, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.176471, "excess_performance": 0.021635, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.097433, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049401, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.218317, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073178, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.036174, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067172, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.176471, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.159836, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 36000, "relative_activity": 0.595583, "balance": 1.159836, "dry_up": 1.694102, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.025698, "annualized_volatility": 0.157065, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.278947 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.54673, "fair_value_reference": 0.492483, "structural_low": 0.505, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.012741, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.002284, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.029999, "worst_return": -0.054053, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.015551, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.007375, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.085507, "worst_return": -0.090091, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.066372, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.003862, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.095845, "worst_return": -0.090091, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.0819, 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"2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.068628, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.010639, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.05102, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.000299, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.029999, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": 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86.301007, "activity_lines": [ 0.585784, 0.577155, 0.558534, 0.547485 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.582353, "volume": 85300, "typical_volume": 55920.0, "trend": 0.53699, "fair_value": 0.491087, "relative_strength": -3.105112, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.964325, "energy": 66.387997, "activity_lines": [ 0.584745, 0.57954, 0.562199, 0.550567 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.582353, "volume": 223900, "typical_volume": 65315.0, "trend": 0.539569, "fair_value": 0.491388, "relative_strength": -3.723587, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.879722, "energy": 54.432885, "activity_lines": [ 0.582882, 0.581155, 0.565543, 0.553494 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.582353, "volume": 52100, "typical_volume": 64585.0, "trend": 0.54198, "fair_value": 0.491744, "relative_strength": -4.929387, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.985776, "energy": 45.550183, "activity_lines": [ 0.582196, 0.582364, 0.568567, 0.556254 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.5775, "volume": 97600, "typical_volume": 64150.0, "trend": 0.544064, "fair_value": 0.492041, "relative_strength": -6.186434, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.076976, "energy": 41.440371, "activity_lines": [ 0.580735, 0.582283, 0.570856, 0.558546 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.6, "volume": 36000, "typical_volume": 60445.0, "trend": 0.54673, "fair_value": 0.492483, "relative_strength": -3.617352, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.300328, "energy": 55.486703, "activity_lines": [ 0.586941, 0.585703, 0.57499, 0.562155 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }