{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "42fc704e-c3a9-4ea3-9519-9d1cb899cc96",
    "symbol": "VIOV",
    "name": "VANGUARD ADMIRAL FDS INC S&P SMCAP 600 VALUE IDX FD ETF SHS",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.27,
    "architecture_energy": 57.652,
    "architecture_maturity": 53.187,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.879,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.03,
        "rotation_up": 58.81,
        "upward_expansion": 81.95,
        "deceleration": 63.46,
        "rotation_down": 23.52,
        "downward_expansion": 8.62
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        117.688253,
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        114.600692,
        112.105331
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 119.48,
    "trend_reference": 109.328048,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.092858,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 90.089098,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.326243,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.278239,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.101375,
    "excess_performance": -0.02425,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092858,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060853,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.326243,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049655,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032782,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000146,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101375,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.162079,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 177855,
      "relative_activity": 0.7726,
      "balance": 1.162079,
      "dry_up": 0.866469,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.02958,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.145463,
      "from_high_reference": -0.009697,
      "from_low_reference": 0.391148
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 109.328048,
      "fair_value_reference": 90.089098,
      "structural_low": 97.886225,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.004591,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010099,
        "regime_survival": 0.681818,
        "best_return": 0.093898,
        "worst_return": -0.101025,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
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        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
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        "worst_return": -0.08779,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "worst_return": -0.119637,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.084553,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
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      {
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 88.904578,
        "relative_strength": 5.396446,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 89.14076,
        "relative_strength": 3.572583,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 117.575,
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        "typical_volume": 236641.2,
        "trend": 107.577275,
        "fair_value": 89.378968,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 72.887348,
        "energy": 71.723075,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 116.6446,
        "volume": 198228,
        "typical_volume": 232939.05,
        "trend": 108.163047,
        "fair_value": 89.604128,
        "relative_strength": 6.018292,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.033402,
        "energy": 55.670197,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 116.74,
        "volume": 184895,
        "typical_volume": 227491.35,
        "trend": 108.783536,
        "fair_value": 89.834683,
        "relative_strength": 4.689299,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.897123,
        "energy": 51.960205,
        "activity_lines": [
          116.728893,
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          111.415236
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 119.48,
        "volume": 177855,
        "typical_volume": 230203.15,
        "trend": 109.328048,
        "fair_value": 90.089098,
        "relative_strength": 3.278239,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.269874,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}