{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "430de59d-7e67-456a-b539-3de5a473b78b",
    "symbol": "1595",
    "name": "Chime Ball Technology Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 84.411,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -19.203,
    "architecture_energy": 38.628,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.18,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.598,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.58,
        "rotation_up": 14.88,
        "upward_expansion": 21.62,
        "deceleration": 53.39,
        "rotation_down": 59.04,
        "downward_expansion": 46.62
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        58.92,
        62.849091,
        69.224762,
        65.936774
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 65.099998,
    "trend_reference": 59.738333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.089753,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 43.275704,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.504308,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -2.371239,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.578182,
    "excess_performance": 0.13681,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.089753,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.195843,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.504308,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.595214,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023712,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.456899,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.578182,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.517811,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1967235,
      "relative_activity": 0.240117,
      "balance": 0.517811,
      "dry_up": 0.282685,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.197211,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.860961,
      "from_high_reference": -0.391589,
      "from_low_reference": 1.024883
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 59.738333,
      "fair_value_reference": 43.275704,
      "structural_low": 37.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.004515,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008917,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.035011,
        "worst_return": -0.066829,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.042527,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.096973,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.038108,
        "worst_return": -0.213348,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.063075,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.071854,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.010705,
        "worst_return": -0.075723,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.021414,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.109738,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.641944,
        "worst_return": -0.161366,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-10-27",
        "end": "2023-11-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.009138,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2023-11-10",
        "end": "2023-11-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.011827,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-12-01",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.002618,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.112434,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.257426,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.096074,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.060175,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.031712,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.003312,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.016393,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.208392,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.944445,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.225641,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-14",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-11",
        "close": 38.513592,
        "volume": 317000,
        "typical_volume": 241000.0,
        "trend": 36.758136,
        "fair_value": 32.615003,
        "relative_strength": -0.960433,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 8113697.25,
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        "fair_value": 42.927366,
        "relative_strength": -16.805574,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 50.0,
        "volume": 2256756,
        "typical_volume": 8175031.8,
        "trend": 58.315,
        "fair_value": 42.989915,
        "relative_strength": -20.8694,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 36.585022,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.546666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 60.400002,
        "volume": 2474301,
        "typical_volume": 8194381.85,
        "trend": 58.888333,
        "fair_value": 43.12067,
        "relative_strength": -6.300217,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.598492,
        "energy": 40.759498,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.853334,
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          69.515238,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 65.099998,
        "volume": 1967235,
        "typical_volume": 8192816.65,
        "trend": 59.738333,
        "fair_value": 43.275704,
        "relative_strength": -2.371239,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -19.202647,
        "energy": 38.627605,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}