{ "ticker": { "uuid": "430e759d-accb-404a-a35a-71ee325776d2", "symbol": "301285", "name": "HONG RI DA Technology Company Limited", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 54.17, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -26.278, "architecture_energy": 59.898, "architecture_maturity": 16.798, "architecture_confidence": 73.09, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.37, "rotation_up": 14.06, "upward_expansion": 27.54, "deceleration": 50.01, "rotation_down": 67.84, "downward_expansion": 52.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 73.884, 87.114909, 97.29181, 96.092968 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 75.0, "trend_reference": 92.022334, "distance_from_trend": -0.18498, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 41.059087, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.826636, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.889049, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.032773, "excess_performance": 0.025374, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.18498, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.157499, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.826636, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.427904, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.01889, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.612319, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.032773, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.963526, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16383057, "relative_activity": 1.004251, "balance": 0.963526, "dry_up": 1.090415, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.237754, "annualized_volatility": 0.755132, "from_high_reference": -0.452994, "from_low_reference": 0.875 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 92.022334, "fair_value_reference": 41.059087, "structural_low": 58.900002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a 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40.344694, "relative_strength": -2.564776, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.403753, "energy": 40.398051, "activity_lines": [ 86.754667, 99.029637, 102.946762, 98.866818 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 65.639999, "volume": 17914297, "typical_volume": 16377791.5, "trend": 91.781667, "fair_value": 40.66762, "relative_strength": -9.038214, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -40.078839, "energy": 58.282864, "activity_lines": [ 77.084667, 91.793636, 99.642238, 97.175656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 75.0, "volume": 16383057, "typical_volume": 16313708.35, "trend": 92.022334, "fair_value": 41.059087, "relative_strength": -1.889049, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.278047, "energy": 59.897877, "activity_lines": [ 73.884, 87.114909, 97.29181, 96.092968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }