{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "43378c3f-e20f-4121-9fc8-daa8f1b22dfd",
    "symbol": "TTP",
    "name": "TD Canadian Equity Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 88.497,
    "architecture_energy": 72.475,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.084,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.497,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.12,
        "rotation_up": 71.55,
        "upward_expansion": 88.15,
        "deceleration": 50.78,
        "rotation_down": 19.05,
        "downward_expansion": 12.48
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        40.964667,
        40.661196,
        40.122158,
        39.57815
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 41.84,
    "trend_reference": 38.90885,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.075334,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 29.346814,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.425708,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.792055,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.128445,
    "excess_performance": 0.008024,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075334,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042765,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.425708,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021546,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007921,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -7.6e-05,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128445,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.460477,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 288500,
      "relative_activity": 1.045782,
      "balance": 1.460477,
      "dry_up": 0.914924,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01724,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.129735,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000239,
      "from_low_reference": 0.339438
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 38.90885,
      "fair_value_reference": 29.346814,
      "structural_low": 35.665267,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 48,
        "median_return": 0.012508,
        "positive_rate": 0.708333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.708333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002432,
        "regime_survival": 0.791667,
        "best_return": 0.052583,
        "worst_return": -0.060472,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.014888,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007306,
        "regime_survival": 0.6875,
        "best_return": 0.105074,
        "worst_return": -0.100908,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.071,
        "positive_rate": 0.888889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.888889,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013875,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
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        "worst_return": -0.127274,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.033974,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2023-11-17",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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      {
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 0.787494,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 546040.0,
        "trend": 37.68208,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 351675.0,
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        "fair_value": 28.737109,
        "relative_strength": 0.80102,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 328400.0,
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        "fair_value": 28.858572,
        "relative_strength": 0.824164,
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        "direction": 74.500568,
        "energy": 80.470808,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 40.470001,
        "volume": 269200,
        "typical_volume": 319640.0,
        "trend": 38.479965,
        "fair_value": 28.977476,
        "relative_strength": 0.68449,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.998851,
        "energy": 75.902672,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.410041,
          40.158481,
          39.590788,
          39.121515
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 40.59,
        "volume": 180600,
        "typical_volume": 288985.0,
        "trend": 38.616792,
        "fair_value": 29.097149,
        "relative_strength": 0.649472,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.760141,
        "energy": 70.790084,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.502667,
          40.284196,
          39.744875,
          39.257647
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 40.5,
        "volume": 271300,
        "typical_volume": 280875.0,
        "trend": 38.755406,
        "fair_value": 29.218227,
        "relative_strength": 0.799537,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.49414,
        "energy": 56.60091,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.524,
          40.360213,
          39.877406,
          39.379144
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 41.84,
        "volume": 288500,
        "typical_volume": 275870.0,
        "trend": 38.90885,
        "fair_value": 29.346814,
        "relative_strength": 0.792055,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.496874,
        "energy": 72.474721,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.964667,
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          40.122158,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}