{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "43384272-26f4-46d3-9641-22e40a3f8b93",
    "symbol": "EEE",
    "name": "BNP Paribas Easy FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Eurozone Capped UCITS ETF QD Dis",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 80.772,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 54.863,
    "architecture_energy": 39.316,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.226,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.648,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.24,
        "rotation_up": 55.56,
        "upward_expansion": 79.29,
        "deceleration": 51.94,
        "rotation_down": 15.59,
        "downward_expansion": 5.95
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        6.833067,
        6.805891,
        6.759607,
        6.745916
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 6.849,
    "trend_reference": 6.745655,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.01532,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.267511,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.092778,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.879181,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.008296,
    "excess_performance": -0.045015,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01532,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008148,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092778,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006147,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048792,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025697,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008296,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.578247,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 81118,
      "relative_activity": 1.46388,
      "balance": 0.578247,
      "dry_up": 0.983068,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024578,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.223778,
      "from_high_reference": -0.077663,
      "from_low_reference": 0.124922
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.745655,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.267511,
      "structural_low": 6.088424,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.003559,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014255,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.159439,
        "worst_return": -0.096741,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.057339,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.026408,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.21778,
        "worst_return": -0.204414,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.053215,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014956,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.097594,
        "worst_return": -0.129451,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.142079,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.138492,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.003203,
        "worst_return": -0.28736,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.048714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.000466,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": -0.049283,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.073445,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.004674,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.000289,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "return": -0.0286,
        "active": false
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 14.791156,
        "activity_lines": [
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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      },
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 26.870827,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 69148,
        "typical_volume": 62193.5,
        "trend": 6.721149,
        "fair_value": 6.237235,
        "relative_strength": -2.343319,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.296646,
        "energy": 29.438006,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.782533,
          6.744139,
          6.711997,
          6.723302
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 6.809,
        "volume": 16243,
        "typical_volume": 56485.75,
        "trend": 6.731407,
        "fair_value": 6.246749,
        "relative_strength": -2.010405,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 14.284629,
        "energy": 29.902732,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.795933,
          6.762058,
          6.724486,
          6.72897
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.888,
        "volume": 51390,
        "typical_volume": 53534.75,
        "trend": 6.742929,
        "fair_value": 6.257269,
        "relative_strength": -2.299292,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 33.576301,
        "energy": 30.068391,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.822333,
          6.789182,
          6.744739,
          6.739073
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 6.849,
        "volume": 81118,
        "typical_volume": 55413.0,
        "trend": 6.745655,
        "fair_value": 6.267511,
        "relative_strength": -4.879181,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.863494,
        "energy": 39.31582,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.833067,
          6.805891,
          6.759607,
          6.745916
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}