{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4345c238-1f6c-4e86-b082-3ffd50db605c",
    "symbol": "CHMG",
    "name": "Chemung Financial Corp",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.404,
    "architecture_energy": 83.378,
    "architecture_maturity": 49.746,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.43,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.0,
        "rotation_up": 76.64,
        "upward_expansion": 97.48,
        "deceleration": 40.84,
        "rotation_down": 15.12,
        "downward_expansion": 19.48
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        80.137333,
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        73.681291,
        69.73015
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 81.24,
    "trend_reference": 65.157371,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.246827,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 49.177061,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.65199,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 20.17244,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.276006,
    "excess_performance": 0.088552,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.246827,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130795,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.65199,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.181512,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.201724,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.139202,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.276006,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.00199,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 420594,
      "relative_activity": 2.068115,
      "balance": 2.00199,
      "dry_up": 1.883618,
      "accumulation_observations": 8,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.05543,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.284008,
      "from_high_reference": -0.044234,
      "from_low_reference": 0.672228
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 49.177061,
      "structural_low": 50.06768,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": 3e-06,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021195,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.126944,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.006966,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 150928.5,
        "trend": 62.429948,
        "fair_value": 48.375056,
        "relative_strength": 18.945882,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 72.472926,
        "energy": 73.174794,
        "activity_lines": [
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          66.262886
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 80.98,
        "volume": 423361,
        "typical_volume": 170610.8,
        "trend": 63.308564,
        "fair_value": 48.641338,
        "relative_strength": 28.135015,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.691496,
        "energy": 82.140829,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 81.49,
        "volume": 309526,
        "typical_volume": 184535.8,
        "trend": 64.228896,
        "fair_value": 48.909349,
        "relative_strength": 27.401987,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.205482,
        "energy": 84.815619,
        "activity_lines": [
          78.922667,
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          72.419959,
          68.632659
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 81.24,
        "volume": 420594,
        "typical_volume": 203370.75,
        "trend": 65.157371,
        "fair_value": 49.177061,
        "relative_strength": 20.17244,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.404371,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}