{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4353a5bb-0c5c-4060-9f4f-8c200b204004", "symbol": "AHC", "name": "Aikchol Hospital Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 84.06, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 58.364, "architecture_energy": 58.463, "architecture_maturity": 8.302, "architecture_confidence": 64.358, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.08, "rotation_up": 68.88, "upward_expansion": 87.77, "deceleration": 42.96, "rotation_down": 10.55, "downward_expansion": 12.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.52, 13.321818, 13.074448, 13.002047 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 13.3, "trend_reference": 12.928057, "distance_from_trend": 0.02877, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.350662, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.073213, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.289461, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.023189, "excess_performance": -0.169136, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.02877, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021456, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.073213, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.09695, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.112895, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090504, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.023189, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.584677, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6500, "relative_activity": 0.149839, "balance": 0.584677, "dry_up": 0.50657, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054945, "annualized_volatility": 0.324559, "from_high_reference": -0.06993, "from_low_reference": 0.160761 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.928057, "fair_value_reference": 14.350662, "structural_low": 11.554285, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.020281, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.006507, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.135294, "worst_return": -0.094203, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.016087, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.009947, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.080493, "worst_return": -0.087629, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.051579, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.044759, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.08, "worst_return": -0.011299, "sufficient": 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12.737551 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 12.6, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 43720.0, "trend": 12.670629, "fair_value": 14.4533, "relative_strength": -14.890623, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.832336, "energy": 10.937934, "activity_lines": [ 12.546667, 12.579906, 12.713873, 12.73483 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 13.3, "volume": 12800, "typical_volume": 43335.0, "trend": 12.7224, "fair_value": 14.438489, "relative_strength": -13.379607, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 11.472138, "energy": 6.340792, "activity_lines": [ 12.793333, 12.694545, 12.764212, 12.775434 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 13.1, "volume": 50700, "typical_volume": 41870.0, "trend": 12.764295, "fair_value": 14.422396, "relative_strength": -14.616776, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.606455, "energy": 15.427354, "activity_lines": [ 12.92, 12.769091, 12.792693, 12.799795 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.0, "volume": 43900, "typical_volume": 43335.0, "trend": 12.823352, "fair_value": 14.408602, "relative_strength": -9.313155, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.817245, "energy": 51.33911, "activity_lines": [ 13.326667, 13.02, 12.905946, 12.879518 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.6, "volume": 22200, "typical_volume": 43560.0, "trend": 12.865867, "fair_value": 14.392243, "relative_strength": -11.734708, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.213696, "energy": 55.034757, "activity_lines": [ 13.5, 13.163636, 12.976793, 12.929625 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.6, "volume": 15300, "typical_volume": 43500.0, "trend": 12.91159, "fair_value": 14.371257, "relative_strength": -10.300098, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.978549, "energy": 58.853947, "activity_lines": [ 13.593333, 13.274545, 13.042943, 12.976988 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.3, "volume": 6500, "typical_volume": 43380.0, "trend": 12.928057, "fair_value": 14.350662, "relative_strength": -11.289461, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.363512, "energy": 58.462592, "activity_lines": [ 13.52, 13.321818, 13.074448, 13.002047 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }