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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.098, "architecture_energy": 68.818, "architecture_maturity": 90.098, "architecture_confidence": 74.989, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.28, "rotation_up": 54.36, "upward_expansion": 83.0, "deceleration": 71.45, "rotation_down": 29.22, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.484267, 8.4514, 8.323905, 8.136525 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 8.694, "trend_reference": 7.917833, "distance_from_trend": 0.098028, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.696628, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.298265, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.234542, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.149392, "excess_performance": 0.084752, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.098028, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042561, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs 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8.302855, 8.031324, 7.886241 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 8.454, "volume": 14808, "typical_volume": 207818.15, "trend": 7.758767, "fair_value": 6.589558, "relative_strength": 6.156416, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.048822, "energy": 86.26817, "activity_lines": [ 8.415533, 8.348709, 8.091119, 7.933099 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 8.46, "volume": 137704, "typical_volume": 207689.0, "trend": 7.793367, "fair_value": 6.611564, "relative_strength": 8.830257, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.284978, "energy": 84.027716, "activity_lines": [ 8.438333, 8.384164, 8.146705, 7.97834 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.361, "volume": 72994, "typical_volume": 206976.25, "trend": 7.823767, "fair_value": 6.632372, "relative_strength": 8.18125, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.396993, "energy": 67.844434, "activity_lines": [ 8.418867, 8.3906, 8.188514, 8.014961 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.392, "volume": 210555, "typical_volume": 213367.85, "trend": 7.853867, "fair_value": 6.652788, "relative_strength": 7.068496, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.132052, "energy": 63.456392, "activity_lines": [ 8.406933, 8.397109, 8.229171, 8.051622 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.359, "volume": 87477, "typical_volume": 205187.15, "trend": 7.883133, "fair_value": 6.673462, "relative_strength": 4.202355, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.527865, "energy": 54.844265, "activity_lines": [ 8.388, 8.394618, 8.262695, 8.084211 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.694, "volume": 128085, "typical_volume": 194109.1, "trend": 7.917833, "fair_value": 6.696628, "relative_strength": 5.234542, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.097917, "energy": 68.817924, "activity_lines": [ 8.484267, 8.4514, 8.323905, 8.136525 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }