{ "ticker": { "uuid": "435b8cda-67a3-461a-bf9c-639ae1a7332e", "symbol": "TINY", "name": "Tiny Ltd.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 32.096, "architecture_energy": 41.776, "architecture_maturity": 9.365, "architecture_confidence": 67.198, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.92, "rotation_up": 67.68, "upward_expansion": 46.89, "deceleration": 25.9, "rotation_down": 14.4, "downward_expansion": 19.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.448, 6.041636, 5.68, 5.761161 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.75, "trend_reference": 6.181, "distance_from_trend": 0.092056, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.961282, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.479218, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -17.22644, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.117647, "excess_performance": -0.238068, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.092056, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.173295, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.479218, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.147846, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.172264, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.16748, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.117647, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.730652, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19200, "relative_activity": 0.698055, "balance": 0.730652, "dry_up": 0.948918, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.122165, "annualized_volatility": 0.642742, "from_high_reference": -0.350337, "from_low_reference": 0.457883 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.181, "fair_value_reference": 12.961282, "structural_low": 4.63, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.025625, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.033981, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.133663, "worst_return": -0.176471, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.185644, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.144973, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.2375, "worst_return": -0.180147, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.275, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.391916, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.002475, "worst_return": -0.286765, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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48.826351, "activity_lines": [ 4.931333, 4.967273, 5.23781, 5.77557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 6.43, "volume": 44000, "typical_volume": 32105.0, "trend": 6.609333, "fair_value": 13.60609, "relative_strength": -21.036296, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -15.700101, "energy": 15.00777, "activity_lines": [ 5.422667, 5.217636, 5.320667, 5.756086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.91, "volume": 44300, "typical_volume": 31290.0, "trend": 6.511, "fair_value": 13.453462, "relative_strength": -14.476076, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 15.520834, "energy": 24.363068, "activity_lines": [ 5.970667, 5.534545, 5.452571, 5.775484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.2, "volume": 15300, "typical_volume": 29395.0, "trend": 6.405, "fair_value": 13.286538, "relative_strength": -22.912876, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -0.530311, "energy": 25.761987, "activity_lines": [ 6.176, 5.699455, 5.515095, 5.755419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.03, "volume": 25600, "typical_volume": 28770.0, "trend": 6.286, "fair_value": 13.120577, "relative_strength": -24.148963, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 2.234405, "energy": 28.349242, "activity_lines": [ 6.236, 5.816, 5.561667, 5.731226 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.75, "volume": 19200, "typical_volume": 27505.0, "trend": 6.181, "fair_value": 12.961282, "relative_strength": -17.22644, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.0957, "energy": 41.775778, "activity_lines": [ 6.448, 6.041636, 5.68, 5.761161 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }