{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "435c209a-3f6b-429d-ad5a-3ea693f93b9f",
    "symbol": "BFIN",
    "name": "Brompton North American Financials Dividend ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 77.27,
    "architecture_energy": 71.044,
    "architecture_maturity": 60.337,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.716,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.89,
        "rotation_up": 69.92,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 65.38,
        "rotation_down": 21.16,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        29.464392,
        29.207028,
        28.453915,
        27.78215
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 29.65,
    "trend_reference": 27.123681,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.093141,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 21.886445,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.35472,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.43002,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.075362,
    "excess_performance": -0.045059,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093141,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037898,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.35472,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06863,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0043,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053083,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075362,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.363636,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 100,
      "relative_activity": 0.098522,
      "balance": 4.363636,
      "dry_up": 0.591133,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.016614,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.148705,
      "from_high_reference": -0.011007,
      "from_low_reference": 0.265461
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 27.123681,
      "fair_value_reference": 21.886445,
      "structural_low": 24.2701,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": 0.022677,
        "positive_rate": 0.628571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.628571,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006948,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": 0.113489,
        "worst_return": -0.112973,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.028518,
        "positive_rate": 0.615385,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.615385,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025081,
        "regime_survival": 0.692308,
        "best_return": 0.182949,
        "worst_return": -0.102803,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.093713,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
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        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.290068,
        "worst_return": -0.134363,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.01807,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.069588,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.474193,
        "worst_return": -0.143132,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2024-12-27",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "return": -0.023345,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.066696,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 46.038764,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 26.84153,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 3330.0,
        "trend": 25.786134,
        "fair_value": 20.699002,
        "relative_strength": -4.119649,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.800077,
        "energy": 48.586012,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 1300,
        "typical_volume": 3365.0,
        "trend": 25.882216,
        "fair_value": 20.778272,
        "relative_strength": -4.878248,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.328078,
        "energy": 60.311617,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 26.613806,
        "volume": 700,
        "typical_volume": 3010.0,
        "trend": 25.96507,
        "fair_value": 20.854347,
        "relative_strength": -4.381946,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.016766,
        "energy": 58.888854,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 27.178164,
        "volume": 1400,
        "typical_volume": 2730.0,
        "trend": 26.04754,
        "fair_value": 20.93558,
        "relative_strength": -4.010551,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.723715,
        "energy": 55.936037,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 27.277172,
        "volume": 700,
        "typical_volume": 2570.0,
        "trend": 26.133283,
        "fair_value": 21.017623,
        "relative_strength": -4.305319,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.499879,
        "energy": 63.130362,
        "activity_lines": [
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          26.282178
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 27.754845,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2430.0,
        "trend": 26.233341,
        "fair_value": 21.099363,
        "relative_strength": -1.523793,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.4094,
        "energy": 79.911601,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.291182,
          27.052825,
          26.452759,
          26.386795
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 28.531065,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 2260.0,
        "trend": 26.35252,
        "fair_value": 21.184958,
        "relative_strength": -0.224942,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.985548,
        "energy": 93.447595,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.76509,
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          26.535035
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 28.700243,
        "volume": 500,
        "typical_volume": 2220.0,
        "trend": 26.489235,
        "fair_value": 21.275054,
        "relative_strength": 0.354876,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.667771,
        "energy": 94.689069,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.174835,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 28.571644,
        "volume": 1100,
        "typical_volume": 1980.0,
        "trend": 26.591413,
        "fair_value": 21.361823,
        "relative_strength": 0.018856,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.751453,
        "energy": 91.708364,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.402617,
          27.876789,
          27.090555,
          26.82085
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 28.840103,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1570.0,
        "trend": 26.69026,
        "fair_value": 21.449721,
        "relative_strength": 0.361033,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.018997,
        "energy": 93.100284,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.626986,
          28.120385,
          27.31123,
          26.965927
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 29.049019,
        "volume": 4700,
        "typical_volume": 1750.0,
        "trend": 26.776681,
        "fair_value": 21.53767,
        "relative_strength": 1.058538,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.964762,
        "energy": 93.782195,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.816799,
          28.365093,
          27.540402,
          27.118105
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 29.705605,
        "volume": 800,
        "typical_volume": 1515.0,
        "trend": 26.885312,
        "fair_value": 21.626231,
        "relative_strength": 3.531668,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.689989,
        "energy": 97.447046,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.139196,
          28.689043,
          27.819805,
          27.307068
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 29.138554,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 1100.0,
        "trend": 26.955005,
        "fair_value": 21.709822,
        "relative_strength": 1.372496,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.387459,
        "energy": 86.483792,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.194273,
          28.855659,
          28.026022,
          27.452438
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 29.459999,
        "volume": 1100,
        "typical_volume": 1085.0,
        "trend": 27.044456,
        "fair_value": 21.797578,
        "relative_strength": 3.004258,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.883027,
        "energy": 70.369349,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.327278,
          29.034815,
          28.243277,
          27.614051
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 29.65,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 1015.0,
        "trend": 27.123681,
        "fair_value": 21.886445,
        "relative_strength": 0.43002,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.269784,
        "energy": 71.043949,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.464392,
          29.207028,
          28.453915,
          27.78215
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}