{ "ticker": { "uuid": "436157a9-a8c1-4bcc-9751-6ca00f877c3a", "symbol": "600363", "name": "Jiangxi Lian Chuang Optoelectronic Science And Technology Co.,lTd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -78.381, "architecture_energy": 85.422, "architecture_maturity": 60.0, "architecture_confidence": 88.662, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.36, "rotation_up": 14.24, "upward_expansion": 19.13, "deceleration": 39.2, "rotation_down": 74.23, "downward_expansion": 92.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.239999, 28.297636, 33.567333, 39.039398 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 22.799999, "trend_reference": 47.138333, "distance_from_trend": -0.516317, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 43.686508, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.4781, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -56.443459, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.639069, "excess_performance": -0.595865, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.516317, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.164959, "read": "Falling" 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"structural_low": 20.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.047059, "positive_rate": 0.619048, "directional_follow_through": 0.380952, "median_excess_return": 0.038094, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.263296, "worst_return": -0.236199, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.092783, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.038258, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.658281, "worst_return": -0.415728, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.326737, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.380466, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.812142, "worst_return": -0.426407, "sufficient": true }, { 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"relative_strength": -49.335317, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.597736, "energy": 71.150318, "activity_lines": [ 31.500667, 33.040909, 38.529905, 43.894925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.93, "volume": 81166084, "typical_volume": 52961158.35, "trend": 49.549, "fair_value": 43.816406, "relative_strength": -52.152542, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.959881, "energy": 70.210747, "activity_lines": [ 29.054, 31.252364, 36.758238, 42.233548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.719999, "volume": 72181928, "typical_volume": 54650376.4, "trend": 48.480333, "fair_value": 43.757623, "relative_strength": -50.208719, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.352274, "energy": 69.777565, "activity_lines": [ 27.505333, 29.913273, 35.226286, 40.696194 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.799999, "volume": 184865342, "typical_volume": 62226269.8, "trend": 47.138333, "fair_value": 43.686508, "relative_strength": -56.443459, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.381326, "energy": 85.422463, "activity_lines": [ 25.239999, 28.297636, 33.567333, 39.039398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }