{ "ticker": { "uuid": "43875575-5490-4193-b322-a61e092bc21f", "symbol": "688238", "name": "Shanghai Obio Technology (Group) Corp., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 63.919, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -10.472, "architecture_energy": 8.359, "architecture_maturity": 66.531, "architecture_confidence": 72.668, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.07, "rotation_up": 30.83, "upward_expansion": 22.19, "deceleration": 40.77, "rotation_down": 22.75, "downward_expansion": 56.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.111333, 5.949818, 6.026238, 6.269118 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 6.93, "trend_reference": 6.607667, "distance_from_trend": 0.048782, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.685962, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.0365, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.041442, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.019802, "excess_performance": 0.023402, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.048782, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059942, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.0365, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115163, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.000414, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.144802, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.019802, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.882645, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 104078947, "relative_activity": 1.699882, "balance": 0.882645, "dry_up": 1.960974, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099678, "annualized_volatility": 0.551994, "from_high_reference": -0.246739, "from_low_reference": 0.353516 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.607667, "fair_value_reference": 6.685962, "structural_low": 5.12, "invalidation": 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6.449441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 6.71, "volume": 188188369, "typical_volume": 49049357.95, "trend": 6.712, "fair_value": 6.817692, "relative_strength": -6.857816, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.096818, "energy": 31.848622, "activity_lines": [ 5.911333, 5.852727, 6.187238, 6.448688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.97, "volume": 201819827, "typical_volume": 57393095.15, "trend": 6.685333, "fair_value": 6.78359, "relative_strength": -11.588715, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.044499, "energy": 25.158614, "activity_lines": [ 5.997333, 5.857455, 6.134429, 6.400817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.43, "volume": 103004027, "typical_volume": 59014367.45, "trend": 6.637333, "fair_value": 6.7475, "relative_strength": -20.091034, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.988796, "energy": 27.274217, "activity_lines": [ 5.862, 5.776364, 6.037381, 6.319828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.52, "volume": 71356660, "typical_volume": 59102471.45, "trend": 6.598667, "fair_value": 6.714936, "relative_strength": -18.472697, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.169462, "energy": 26.646768, "activity_lines": [ 5.764667, 5.727818, 5.959762, 6.247742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.93, "volume": 104078947, "typical_volume": 61227167.3, "trend": 6.607667, "fair_value": 6.685962, "relative_strength": 0.041442, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -10.472293, "energy": 8.359148, "activity_lines": [ 6.111333, 5.949818, 6.026238, 6.269118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }