{ "ticker": { "uuid": "43894397-ec0f-4d10-980c-6eac680644dd", "symbol": "NESTLEIND", "name": "Nestl\u00e9 India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.37, "architecture_energy": 75.911, "architecture_maturity": 18.859, "architecture_confidence": 85.563, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.54, "rotation_up": 73.17, "upward_expansion": 91.45, "deceleration": 43.93, "rotation_down": 14.66, "downward_expansion": 15.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 1491.899984, 1462.646189, 1435.346125, 1397.557213 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1540.0, "trend_reference": 1355.941838, "distance_from_trend": 0.135742, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1220.144261, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.262146, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 19.081372, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.181616, "excess_performance": 0.225325, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.135742, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046078, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.262146, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017845, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.190814, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049047, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.181616, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.194959, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11190246, "relative_activity": 1.322396, "balance": 1.194959, "dry_up": 1.516189, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039036, "annualized_volatility": 0.217488, "from_high_reference": -0.008371, "from_low_reference": 0.427413 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1355.941838, "fair_value_reference": 1220.144261, "structural_low": 1159.400024, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.009098, "positive_rate": 0.413793, "directional_follow_through": 0.413793, "median_excess_return": -0.013142, "regime_survival": 0.62069, "best_return": 0.124635, "worst_return": -0.17664, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.015072, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.037024, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.111483, "worst_return": -0.211276, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.090573, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -9e-05, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.180331, "worst_return": 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"activity_lines": [ 1439.561475, 1425.234359, 1406.218742, 1374.193743 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1509.599976, "volume": 16750388, "typical_volume": 8209554.1, "trend": 1347.679293, "fair_value": 1217.073782, "relative_strength": 18.401011, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.017892, "energy": 73.110759, "activity_lines": [ 1464.454395, 1441.962999, 1420.066718, 1385.149426 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1540.0, "volume": 11190246, "typical_volume": 8462096.95, "trend": 1355.941838, "fair_value": 1220.144261, "relative_strength": 19.081372, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.369585, "energy": 75.910829, "activity_lines": [ 1491.899984, 1462.646189, 1435.346125, 1397.557213 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }