{ "ticker": { "uuid": "439a3738-8bbc-4788-b516-5b0585813474", "symbol": "VOXR", "name": "Vox Royalty Corp. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 62.322, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.965, "architecture_energy": 46.182, "architecture_maturity": 9.522, "architecture_confidence": 87.063, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.4, "rotation_up": 15.63, "upward_expansion": 6.51, "deceleration": 46.79, "rotation_down": 63.18, "downward_expansion": 82.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.57, 4.642926, 4.983925, 5.131202 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 5.04, "trend_reference": 5.272104, "distance_from_trend": -0.044025, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.245202, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.553062, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.520032, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.024242, "excess_performance": -0.211695, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.044025, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003868, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.553062, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.410876, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.0852, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.215399, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.024242, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.446846, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2376206, "relative_activity": 1.100374, "balance": 0.446846, "dry_up": 0.950801, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.119725, "annualized_volatility": 0.540544, "from_high_reference": -0.245376, "from_low_reference": 0.623798 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.272104, "fair_value_reference": 3.245202, "structural_low": 4.11, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.015228, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": -0.00809, "regime_survival": 0.842105, "best_return": 0.137079, "worst_return": -0.072961, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.040173, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.042357, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.26924, "worst_return": -0.12233, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.220292, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.177422, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.656137, "worst_return": -0.185877, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.244681, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.125071, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.013547, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.15, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.119063, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "New", 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5.239828, 5.378639, 5.392246 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 4.56, "volume": 1976981, "typical_volume": 2433846.5, "trend": 5.328334, "fair_value": 3.186545, "relative_strength": -16.935091, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -44.332025, "energy": 57.356574, "activity_lines": [ 4.81899, 5.083218, 5.291458, 5.341233 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.14, "volume": 2324222, "typical_volume": 2430670.75, "trend": 5.294613, "fair_value": 3.198335, "relative_strength": -21.368371, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.261527, "energy": 74.626898, "activity_lines": [ 4.561522, 4.86412, 5.168915, 5.264566 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.37, "volume": 1833482, "typical_volume": 2383975.75, "trend": 5.271543, "fair_value": 3.211783, "relative_strength": -15.786656, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.768125, "energy": 71.280772, "activity_lines": [ 4.448963, 4.719407, 5.079095, 5.204913 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.35, "volume": 1678927, "typical_volume": 2336493.65, "trend": 5.260988, "fair_value": 3.22596, "relative_strength": -16.77757, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.959074, "energy": 70.155551, "activity_lines": [ 4.376, 4.604155, 4.995762, 5.145459 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.04, "volume": 2376206, "typical_volume": 2159452.3, "trend": 5.272104, "fair_value": 3.245202, "relative_strength": -8.520032, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.965267, "energy": 46.181588, "activity_lines": [ 4.57, 4.642926, 4.983925, 5.131202 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }