{ "ticker": { "uuid": "439fb863-fc8d-45d9-94f2-28f6dc508c80", "symbol": "WFX", "name": "World Flex Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 67.681, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 9.917, "architecture_energy": 6.019, "architecture_maturity": 11.131, "architecture_confidence": 59.617, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 69.15, "rotation_up": 29.64, "upward_expansion": 48.77, "deceleration": 62.05, "rotation_down": 21.09, "downward_expansion": 24.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.989333, 0.988182, 1.001524, 1.002903 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.99, "trend_reference": 0.962, "distance_from_trend": 0.029106, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.278013, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.22536, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.609334, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.434783, "excess_performance": 0.242458, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.029106, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092354, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.22536, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.091603, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.036093, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02571, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.434783, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.589604, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 132900, "relative_activity": 0.189488, "balance": 1.589604, "dry_up": 0.391772, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063714, "annualized_volatility": 0.536043, "from_high_reference": -0.282609, "from_low_reference": 1.020408 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.962, "fair_value_reference": 1.278013, "structural_low": 0.67, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.006667, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.013651, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.582278, "worst_return": -0.201389, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.113864, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.136841, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.227848, "worst_return": -0.195652, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.289114, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.216365, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.215909, "worst_return": -0.362319, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.413043, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.30874, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.413043, "worst_return": -0.413043, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-06-30", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.449219, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.152174, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.305785, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.159091, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.15625, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.098765, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.013158, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.160377, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.224, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.009901, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 2.18, "volume": 1444000, "typical_volume": 2658950.0, "trend": 3.541273, "fair_value": 5.513279, "relative_strength": -46.190899, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.947359, "energy": 77.869205, "activity_lines": [ 2.378667, 2.468, 2.719397, 3.055839 ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 2.44, "volume": 1650000, "typical_volume": 2687075.0, "trend": 3.455958, "fair_value": 5.478356, "relative_strength": -40.274714, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 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"relative_strength": -4.775442, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.024902, "energy": 7.802791, "activity_lines": [ 0.989333, 0.989818, 1.018905, 0.994796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.97, "volume": 572300, "typical_volume": 1788090.0, "trend": 0.944667, "fair_value": 1.296667, "relative_strength": -7.685243, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.632155, "energy": 8.814148, "activity_lines": [ 0.981333, 0.985636, 1.012, 0.996925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.0, "volume": 51000, "typical_volume": 1178180.0, "trend": 0.952667, "fair_value": 1.286538, "relative_strength": -3.540333, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.017757, "energy": 6.91046, "activity_lines": [ 0.986667, 0.987636, 1.007095, 1.000495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.99, "volume": 132900, "typical_volume": 701365.0, "trend": 0.962, "fair_value": 1.278013, "relative_strength": -3.609334, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.917337, "energy": 6.019032, "activity_lines": [ 0.989333, 0.988182, 1.001524, 1.002903 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }