{ "ticker": { "uuid": "43aae922-347c-4ad9-aefd-57b1c020386a", "symbol": "600299", "name": "Bluestar Adisseo Company", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.565, "architecture_energy": 72.66, "architecture_maturity": 37.634, "architecture_confidence": 89.373, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.01, "rotation_up": 27.34, "upward_expansion": 16.11, "deceleration": 42.9, "rotation_down": 56.26, "downward_expansion": 89.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.237333, 8.404548, 9.64315, 10.468215 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.45, "trend_reference": 10.945976, "distance_from_trend": -0.228027, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.746124, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.132989, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.614212, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.114755, "excess_performance": -0.071551, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.228027, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011969, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.132989, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.41401, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.176142, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.257234, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.114755, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.109509, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 231555297, "relative_activity": 2.016169, "balance": 2.109509, "dry_up": 2.137752, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095232, "annualized_volatility": 0.482773, "from_high_reference": -0.487257, "from_low_reference": 0.114476 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.945976, "fair_value_reference": 9.746124, "structural_low": 7.582041, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.018393, "positive_rate": 0.576923, "directional_follow_through": 0.423077, "median_excess_return": -0.008035, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.213773, "worst_return": -0.081081, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.011494, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": 0.036892, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.549471, "worst_return": -0.060825, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.007865, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.080763, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.568149, "worst_return": -0.115942, "sufficient": true }, 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"rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.975877, "energy": 90.880306, "activity_lines": [ 8.208563, 8.99641, 10.557447, 10.991693 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.97, "volume": 272845228, "typical_volume": 117585867.45, "trend": 10.978528, "fair_value": 9.738924, "relative_strength": -20.469011, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.4155, "energy": 88.697262, "activity_lines": [ 8.042087, 8.671971, 10.194427, 10.795341 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.42, "volume": 193685238, "typical_volume": 113845599.6, "trend": 10.961918, "fair_value": 9.742896, "relative_strength": -16.000413, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.787708, "energy": 85.418793, "activity_lines": [ 8.124798, 8.506259, 9.900598, 10.630275 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.45, "volume": 231555297, "typical_volume": 114849122.5, "trend": 10.945976, "fair_value": 9.746124, "relative_strength": -17.614212, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.564594, "energy": 72.659579, "activity_lines": [ 8.237333, 8.404548, 9.64315, 10.468215 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }