{ "ticker": { "uuid": "43b8def5-0230-4a14-8c02-80e57dccabba", "symbol": "MTE", "name": "Micron Technology, Inc.", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 33.017, "architecture_energy": 27.697, "architecture_maturity": 79.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.853, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.48, "rotation_up": 19.99, "upward_expansion": 55.23, "deceleration": 94.0, "rotation_down": 32.54, "downward_expansion": 21.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 765.48666, 819.179056, 770.050012, 678.859447 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 757.599976, "trend_reference": 564.245996, "distance_from_trend": 0.342677, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 192.543729, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.93469, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 76.738517, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.275475, "excess_performance": 1.210835, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.342677, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.586762, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.93469, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.770068, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.767385, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.967801, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.275475, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.416722, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 135638, "relative_activity": 1.334095, "balance": 1.416722, "dry_up": 1.450793, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.162154, "annualized_volatility": 0.782518, "from_high_reference": -0.275734, "from_low_reference": 6.786922 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 564.245996, "fair_value_reference": 192.543729, "structural_low": 270.649994, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.071049, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.094468, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.700544, "worst_return": -0.078616, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.009845, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.046385, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.381152, "worst_return": -0.084652, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.129813, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.110118, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.282018, "worst_return": -0.131803, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.374348, "energy": 40.471178, "activity_lines": [ 832.641911, 860.438532, 752.198315, 653.43753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 718.6, "volume": 234170, "typical_volume": 100159.95, "trend": 548.684716, "fair_value": 188.059467, "relative_strength": 77.302199, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.091367, "energy": 27.830152, "activity_lines": [ 782.356669, 836.779705, 760.102677, 665.381043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 757.599976, "volume": 135638, "typical_volume": 101670.45, "trend": 564.245996, "fair_value": 192.543729, "relative_strength": 76.738517, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.016677, "energy": 27.696972, "activity_lines": [ 765.48666, 819.179056, 770.050012, 678.859447 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }