{ "ticker": { "uuid": "43ce67a5-d742-4e45-84eb-38a0339c401a", "symbol": "III", "name": "Information Services Group Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 48.805, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 35.849, "architecture_energy": 27.218, "architecture_maturity": 19.421, "architecture_confidence": 64.994, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.48, "rotation_up": 56.04, "upward_expansion": 33.07, "deceleration": 37.38, "rotation_down": 26.42, "downward_expansion": 28.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.404, 4.248182, 4.200913, 4.205831 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5.19, "trend_reference": 4.35638, "distance_from_trend": 0.191356, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.963028, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.309605, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.526724, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.012762, "excess_performance": -0.174692, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.191356, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.090948, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.309605, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.310008, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.055267, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.258489, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.012762, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.739563, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1742621, "relative_activity": 1.520768, "balance": 1.739563, "dry_up": 1.025713, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073423, "annualized_volatility": 0.476579, "from_high_reference": -0.170963, "from_low_reference": 0.402429 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.35638, "fair_value_reference": 3.963028, "structural_low": 3.700723, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.189008, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.163585, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.189008, "worst_return": -0.189008, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.252068, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.145117, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.252068, "worst_return": -0.252068, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.292611, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.235707, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.292611, "worst_return": -0.292611, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"volume": 802128, "typical_volume": 1233577.85, "trend": 4.543261, "fair_value": 3.9691, "relative_strength": -30.118753, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.26998, "energy": 35.595014, "activity_lines": [ 4.054667, 4.134576, 4.117267, 4.245908 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.99, "volume": 1021192, "typical_volume": 1193062.35, "trend": 4.483274, "fair_value": 3.965933, "relative_strength": -25.168019, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.353106, "energy": 35.117358, "activity_lines": [ 4.022, 4.10348, 4.105019, 4.210214 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.86, "volume": 1116124, "typical_volume": 1181507.65, "trend": 4.418953, "fair_value": 3.961706, "relative_strength": -26.045123, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.819996, "energy": 46.651298, "activity_lines": [ 3.960667, 4.048884, 4.08379, 4.170003 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.16, "volume": 821448, "typical_volume": 1133245.0, "trend": 4.375716, "fair_value": 3.959347, "relative_strength": -20.476707, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.29824, "energy": 31.195852, "activity_lines": [ 4.009333, 4.052775, 4.093848, 4.153296 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.19, "volume": 1742621, "typical_volume": 1145881.9, "trend": 4.35638, "fair_value": 3.963028, "relative_strength": -5.526724, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.848725, "energy": 27.217571, "activity_lines": [ 4.404, 4.248182, 4.200913, 4.205831 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }