{ "ticker": { "uuid": "43e7959a-64da-42d6-877b-68b552ba6d3e", "symbol": "001210", "name": "Kingfore Energy Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -19.548, "architecture_energy": 22.786, "architecture_maturity": 25.147, "architecture_confidence": 47.856, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.05, "rotation_up": 7.67, "upward_expansion": 16.18, "deceleration": 67.98, "rotation_down": 60.65, "downward_expansion": 63.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.333333, 20.390545, 20.366136, 20.28004 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 21.879999, "trend_reference": 20.575767, "distance_from_trend": 0.063387, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.211657, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.539581, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.846183, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.093245, "excess_performance": -0.100645, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.063387, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075364, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.539581, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.36923, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.128462, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.350808, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.093245, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.779335, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 44446085, "relative_activity": 1.477182, "balance": 0.779335, "dry_up": 1.074822, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.142472, "annualized_volatility": 0.869172, "from_high_reference": -0.181138, "from_low_reference": 0.628467 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.575767, "fair_value_reference": 14.211657, "structural_low": 13.435946, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.046162, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": -0.017243, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.129386, "worst_return": -0.196863, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.057696, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.04955, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.276073, "worst_return": -0.228148, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.003733, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.028328, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.581802, "worst_return": -0.21118, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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-5.746441, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.302759, "energy": 30.644906, "activity_lines": [ 19.576667, 21.13058, 20.368926, 20.385257 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.33, "volume": 21123466, "typical_volume": 29550564.4, "trend": 20.417434, "fair_value": 14.178677, "relative_strength": -5.522966, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.348423, "energy": 42.998222, "activity_lines": [ 18.48, 20.31309, 20.137531, 20.185681 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.879999, "volume": 44446085, "typical_volume": 30088423.4, "trend": 20.575767, "fair_value": 14.211657, "relative_strength": 12.846183, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.548022, "energy": 22.786109, "activity_lines": [ 19.333333, 20.390545, 20.366136, 20.28004 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }