{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "43f62a93-b834-44b2-870b-7e7dec6b55c1",
    "symbol": "MAST",
    "name": "Mastercard Incorporated",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 50.891,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 76.63,
    "architecture_energy": 88.623,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.137,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.163,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.02,
        "rotation_up": 84.62,
        "upward_expansion": 99.24,
        "deceleration": 39.04,
        "rotation_down": 8.27,
        "downward_expansion": 21.24
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        452.547537,
        446.71338
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 488.299988,
    "trend_reference": 443.22045,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.101709,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 446.76513,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.092968,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -14.400904,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.062634,
    "excess_performance": -0.111613,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101709,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.016861,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092968,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130848,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.144009,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103546,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062634,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.774257,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 293,
      "relative_activity": 2.567923,
      "balance": 1.774257,
      "dry_up": 2.007011,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.035317,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.193288,
      "from_high_reference": -0.042533,
      "from_low_reference": 0.181374
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 446.76513,
      "structural_low": 413.332333,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": 0.008357,
        "positive_rate": 0.566667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.566667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006898,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.098318,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "relative_strength": -24.755486,
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "energy": 37.58493,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -24.622425,
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 444.839154,
        "fair_value": 441.988748,
        "relative_strength": -23.499598,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -27.670923,
        "energy": 17.64101,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 469.228516,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 134.4,
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        "fair_value": 442.75515,
        "relative_strength": -19.502737,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 19.51111,
        "energy": 25.956256,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 456.100006,
        "volume": 70,
        "typical_volume": 130.6,
        "trend": 443.818981,
        "fair_value": 443.423542,
        "relative_strength": -20.18282,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.120878,
        "energy": 43.753844,
        "activity_lines": [
          450.119706,
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          434.913103,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 474.899994,
        "volume": 123,
        "typical_volume": 117.75,
        "trend": 443.528298,
        "fair_value": 444.201114,
        "relative_strength": -14.758154,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 53.558667,
        "energy": 70.350029,
        "activity_lines": [
          460.790751,
          447.523698,
          438.889791,
          438.694245
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 471.700012,
        "volume": 108,
        "typical_volume": 104.35,
        "trend": 442.979854,
        "fair_value": 444.984618,
        "relative_strength": -15.935265,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 46.362661,
        "energy": 73.180996,
        "activity_lines": [
          466.896167,
          453.359119,
          442.374895,
          440.511775
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 494.299988,
        "volume": 392,
        "typical_volume": 108.35,
        "trend": 443.495235,
        "fair_value": 445.904179,
        "relative_strength": -11.3167,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.542858,
        "energy": 91.750791,
        "activity_lines": [
          477.628567,
          462.507263,
          447.889028,
          443.822751
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 488.299988,
        "volume": 293,
        "typical_volume": 114.1,
        "trend": 443.22045,
        "fair_value": 446.76513,
        "relative_strength": -14.400904,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.629563,
        "energy": 88.622785,
        "activity_lines": [
          482.646661,
          469.400862,
          452.547537,
          446.71338
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}