{ "ticker": { "uuid": "43f8ab7e-59a9-4b67-ada2-ad45522a593d", "symbol": "1617", "name": "Jung Shing Wire Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 59.941, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 31.576, "architecture_energy": 25.536, "architecture_maturity": 68.205, "architecture_confidence": 77.626, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.57, "rotation_up": 22.62, "upward_expansion": 55.8, "deceleration": 91.17, "rotation_down": 35.92, "downward_expansion": 21.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.088554, 18.862163, 17.751609, 16.982136 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 18.549999, "trend_reference": 16.271113, "distance_from_trend": 0.140057, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.842979, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.101349, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.330845, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.231304, "excess_performance": -0.210068, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.140057, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103213, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.101349, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.266837, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.143308, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.238522, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.231304, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.792603, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4022500, "relative_activity": 1.238435, "balance": 2.792603, "dry_up": 1.873138, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.123627, "annualized_volatility": 0.636251, "from_high_reference": -0.218499, "from_low_reference": 0.377466 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.271113, "fair_value_reference": 16.842979, "structural_low": 13.563636, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.030612, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.059728, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.117517, "worst_return": -0.088068, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.111638, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.014757, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.066418, "worst_return": -0.231579, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.147116, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.053641, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.113691, "worst_return": -0.180542, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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3751640, "typical_volume": 2575439.4, "trend": 15.987494, "fair_value": 16.80873, "relative_strength": -21.960227, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.750144, "energy": 43.321777, "activity_lines": [ 19.033758, 18.836139, 17.37953, 16.682583 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.200001, "volume": 10483031, "typical_volume": 3075185.25, "trend": 16.119433, "fair_value": 16.825624, "relative_strength": -13.74997, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.608345, "energy": 21.488391, "activity_lines": [ 18.318278, 18.842307, 17.557866, 16.825325 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 18.549999, "volume": 4022500, "typical_volume": 3248050.1, "trend": 16.271113, "fair_value": 16.842979, "relative_strength": -14.330845, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.576262, "energy": 25.535512, "activity_lines": [ 18.088554, 18.862163, 17.751609, 16.982136 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }