{ "ticker": { "uuid": "44039f3b-e93a-4ab2-95b1-ece74539ec84", "symbol": "300672", "name": "Hunan Goke Microelectronics Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -25.414, "architecture_energy": 42.381, "architecture_maturity": 45.771, "architecture_confidence": 46.833, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.09, "rotation_up": 14.02, "upward_expansion": 18.82, "deceleration": 62.81, "rotation_down": 67.78, "downward_expansion": 43.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 156.900666, 197.912909, 222.416524, 212.815505 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 168.479996, "trend_reference": 195.090333, "distance_from_trend": -0.1364, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 93.439197, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.803098, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 9.856096, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.185644, "excess_performance": 0.178244, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.1364, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.293505, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.803098, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.856691, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.098561, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.498601, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.185644, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.109806, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 66680632, "relative_activity": 1.316196, "balance": 1.109806, "dry_up": 1.39139, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.311222, "annualized_volatility": 1.119375, "from_high_reference": -0.552866, "from_low_reference": 1.070288 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 195.090333, "fair_value_reference": 93.439197, "structural_low": 118.68, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.110915, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.081952, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.546516, "worst_return": -0.313418, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.051401, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.025299, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.485579, "worst_return": -0.555687, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.300629, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.135232, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.237695, "worst_return": -0.349166, "sufficient": false 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"typical_volume": 52200396.6, "trend": 193.061667, "fair_value": 92.851662, "relative_strength": -10.353486, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.055307, "energy": 46.720048, "activity_lines": [ 163.322668, 211.964728, 227.283619, 214.401419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 168.479996, "volume": 66680632, "typical_volume": 50661628.05, "trend": 195.090333, "fair_value": 93.439197, "relative_strength": 9.856096, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.413506, "energy": 42.381472, "activity_lines": [ 156.900666, 197.912909, 222.416524, 212.815505 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }