{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "440bd7ca-a45d-4f67-8e34-90908e2d7c22",
    "symbol": "MOONG",
    "name": "Moong Pattana International Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.834,
    "architecture_energy": 71.264,
    "architecture_maturity": 79.976,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.52,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.5,
        "rotation_up": 70.94,
        "upward_expansion": 89.69,
        "deceleration": 47.04,
        "rotation_down": 16.48,
        "downward_expansion": 14.03
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.405333,
        2.369091,
        2.317492,
        2.256613
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 2.44,
    "trend_reference": 2.169461,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.124703,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.783688,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.367952,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.520082,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.285505,
    "excess_performance": 0.09318,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.124703,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086105,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.367952,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.113567,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055201,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047011,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.285505,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.53601,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1912200,
      "relative_activity": 2.047312,
      "balance": 4.53601,
      "dry_up": 1.686527,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.035309,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.201965,
      "from_high_reference": -0.024,
      "from_low_reference": 0.461581
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.169461,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.783688,
      "structural_low": 1.879478,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": 0.008375,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001757,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.276265,
        "worst_return": -0.080357,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.014825,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.022285,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.339449,
        "worst_return": -0.136986,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.037383,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.020914,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.18031,
        "worst_return": -0.142202,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.033445,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.036603,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.018624,
        "worst_return": -0.085514,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.02451,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010257,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.102828,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.009091,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.056075,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.030303,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.04773,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.00532,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.031579,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.021739,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-12-05",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
      }
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 719000.0,
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        "relative_strength": 0.085861,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 1.762856,
        "relative_strength": 0.395727,
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        "energy": 47.410991,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 2768300,
        "typical_volume": 865185.0,
        "trend": 2.121084,
        "fair_value": 1.768354,
        "relative_strength": 2.658253,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.93619,
        "energy": 55.010158,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.34,
          2.326182,
          2.264271,
          2.204168
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.36,
        "volume": 1245500,
        "typical_volume": 895555.0,
        "trend": 2.135241,
        "fair_value": 1.773693,
        "relative_strength": 0.614019,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.738355,
        "energy": 51.141451,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.350667,
          2.334545,
          2.279153,
          2.219582
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.42,
        "volume": 374900,
        "typical_volume": 864765.0,
        "trend": 2.150777,
        "fair_value": 1.77922,
        "relative_strength": 4.190888,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.739125,
        "energy": 60.194571,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.378667,
          2.351636,
          2.29817,
          2.237953
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.44,
        "volume": 1912200,
        "typical_volume": 934005.0,
        "trend": 2.169461,
        "fair_value": 1.783688,
        "relative_strength": 5.520082,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.833808,
        "energy": 71.263736,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.405333,
          2.369091,
          2.317492,
          2.256613
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}