{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4419121b-02f5-4832-a8c1-c523a1e7623a", "symbol": "METE", "name": "Franklin AI Metaverse and Block", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 48.374, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 20.868, "architecture_energy": 26.856, "architecture_maturity": 71.322, "architecture_confidence": 78.917, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.36, "rotation_up": 21.74, "upward_expansion": 49.57, "deceleration": 85.0, "rotation_down": 43.93, "downward_expansion": 32.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.498933, 46.130236, 46.33399, 45.002834 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 47.042, "trend_reference": 43.596733, "distance_from_trend": 0.079026, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 41.684618, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.128522, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.605781, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.21333, "excess_performance": 0.160018, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.079026, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011674, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.128522, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022798, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.006058, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.108694, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.21333, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.440816, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5, "relative_activity": 0.10661, "balance": 0.440816, "dry_up": 0.058635, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036416, "annualized_volatility": 0.301974, "from_high_reference": -0.090818, "from_low_reference": 0.271268 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.596733, "fair_value_reference": 41.684618, "structural_low": 37.004002, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.003071, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.042014, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.003071, "worst_return": 0.003071, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.023263, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.040849, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.003071, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 40.543999, "volume": 26, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ 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43.145123 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 48.619999, "volume": 12, "typical_volume": 96.2, "trend": 43.184, "fair_value": 41.226913, "relative_strength": 8.424284, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.339195, "energy": 73.814082, "activity_lines": [ 49.260666, 47.505581, 44.266233, 43.497729 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 49.327999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 56.2, "trend": 43.237, "fair_value": 41.325707, "relative_strength": 8.728997, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.836392, "energy": 67.498925, "activity_lines": [ 49.407066, 48.203127, 44.9274, 43.894116 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 46.438, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 55.6, "trend": 43.322433, "fair_value": 41.387301, "relative_strength": 2.559618, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.037834, "energy": 61.221977, "activity_lines": [ 48.446466, 48.1562, 45.280909, 44.100632 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 47.313, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 55.6, "trend": 43.405367, "fair_value": 41.457845, "relative_strength": 2.80581, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.619203, "energy": 45.422292, "activity_lines": [ 47.821266, 48.176691, 45.681243, 44.358088 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 46.897999, "volume": 198, "typical_volume": 64.5, "trend": 43.4907, "fair_value": 41.521847, "relative_strength": 3.740922, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.614898, "energy": 35.517644, "activity_lines": [ 47.355466, 48.033381, 46.001376, 44.583419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 44.584, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 64.1, "trend": 43.514833, "fair_value": 41.557453, "relative_strength": -1.494982, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.828836, "energy": 32.158944, "activity_lines": [ 46.310333, 47.388545, 46.066014, 44.653955 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 44.584, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 64.1, "trend": 43.5299, "fair_value": 41.592241, "relative_strength": -1.951689, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.981931, "energy": 29.689732, "activity_lines": [ 45.534266, 46.785545, 46.107338, 44.722933 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 44.363998, "volume": 4, "typical_volume": 46.65, "trend": 43.537633, "fair_value": 41.623738, "relative_strength": -3.951911, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.092327, "energy": 25.660267, "activity_lines": [ 45.001133, 46.189618, 46.104395, 44.776746 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.042, "volume": 5, "typical_volume": 46.9, "trend": 43.596733, "fair_value": 41.684618, "relative_strength": -0.605781, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.867501, "energy": 26.855579, "activity_lines": [ 45.498933, 46.130236, 46.33399, 45.002834 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }