{ "ticker": { "uuid": "442ae4fd-81d2-4730-a74f-b4127167177c", "symbol": "SADBHAV", "name": "Sadbhav Engineering Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 57.375, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -6.038, "architecture_energy": 10.086, "architecture_maturity": 9.493, "architecture_confidence": 45.89, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.96, "rotation_up": 28.17, "upward_expansion": 18.17, "deceleration": 59.45, "rotation_down": 40.99, "downward_expansion": 38.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.595333, 8.626545, 8.852, 8.828581 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 8.94, "trend_reference": 8.604667, "distance_from_trend": 0.038971, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.341218, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.512573, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.950582, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.465574, "excess_performance": 0.509283, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.038971, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078598, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.512573, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006772, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.109506, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070753, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.465574, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.143803, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1226068, "relative_activity": 1.466652, "balance": 1.143803, "dry_up": 1.876647, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104371, "annualized_volatility": 0.74954, "from_high_reference": -0.49916, "from_low_reference": 0.477686 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.604667, "fair_value_reference": 18.341218, "structural_low": 6.3, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.022132, "positive_rate": 0.4375, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": -0.036499, "regime_survival": 0.5625, "best_return": 0.101852, "worst_return": -0.220895, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.240421, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.236582, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.312785, "worst_return": -0.43812, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.274576, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.36412, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 1.065421, "worst_return": -0.467249, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.008172, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.142776, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.498305, "worst_return": -0.481961, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.099835, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.030724, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.079549, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.467504, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.118644, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.066458, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.198959, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.144105, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.154856, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "New", 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"fair_value": 18.382115, "relative_strength": -21.856561, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.663896, "energy": 45.989269, "activity_lines": [ 8.427333, 8.726364, 8.919667, 8.838129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.9, "volume": 768747, "typical_volume": 830617.8, "trend": 8.662333, "fair_value": 18.365128, "relative_strength": -19.713495, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.263684, "energy": 52.153971, "activity_lines": [ 8.196667, 8.554545, 8.824429, 8.779742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.08, "volume": 3478648, "typical_volume": 885400.6, "trend": 8.600667, "fair_value": 18.353141, "relative_strength": -9.546453, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -8.788562, "energy": 28.658821, "activity_lines": [ 8.43, 8.606182, 8.845571, 8.806688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.94, "volume": 1226068, "typical_volume": 835964.0, "trend": 8.604667, "fair_value": 18.341218, "relative_strength": -10.950582, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.037932, "energy": 10.086419, "activity_lines": [ 8.595333, 8.626545, 8.852, 8.828581 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }