{ "ticker": { "uuid": "442d0bd6-0ed3-438f-9c5a-92640ef4f5b2", "symbol": "603358", "name": "Huada Automotive Technology Corp.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 71.405, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -19.466, "architecture_energy": 20.155, "architecture_maturity": 21.878, "architecture_confidence": 53.687, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.67, "rotation_up": 15.43, "upward_expansion": 11.96, "deceleration": 59.93, "rotation_down": 48.87, "downward_expansion": 63.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.453335, 38.291454, 37.760196, 38.687648 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 41.900002, "trend_reference": 41.462669, "distance_from_trend": 0.010548, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 32.383112, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.293884, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.137307, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.184825, "excess_performance": -0.141621, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.010548, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051215, "read": "Falling" 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27.299999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.077133, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.058043, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.192861, "worst_return": -0.131743, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.090289, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.165118, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.25861, "worst_return": -0.120403, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.116877, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.185898, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.213312, "worst_return": 0.020443, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"2026-07-10", "close": 41.150002, "volume": 63890258, "typical_volume": 54253997.0, "trend": 42.813229, "fair_value": 31.924131, "relative_strength": -3.571071, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.872785, "energy": 19.974053, "activity_lines": [ 41.421791, 40.083411, 38.45637, 40.283012 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 34.07, "volume": 56006993, "typical_volume": 56508073.5, "trend": 42.538732, "fair_value": 32.0239, "relative_strength": -15.091138, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.363615, "energy": 21.275933, "activity_lines": [ 39.208689, 39.219928, 37.972553, 39.718933 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 30.950001, "volume": 47245612, "typical_volume": 57653637.25, "trend": 42.091422, "fair_value": 32.100121, "relative_strength": -23.534622, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.263824, "energy": 36.895758, "activity_lines": [ 36.234667, 37.800444, 37.268497, 38.971273 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.540001, "volume": 61927377, "typical_volume": 58966663.0, "trend": 41.744769, "fair_value": 32.223752, "relative_strength": -7.708971, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.780098, "energy": 31.766904, "activity_lines": [ 36.003334, 37.637746, 37.280632, 38.677633 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.900002, "volume": 63848354, "typical_volume": 60146244.3, "trend": 41.462669, "fair_value": 32.383112, "relative_strength": 0.137307, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.466377, "energy": 20.154724, "activity_lines": [ 37.453335, 38.291454, 37.760196, 38.687648 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }