{ "ticker": { "uuid": "444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634", "symbol": "ARA", "name": "Consorcio ARA, S. A. B. de C. V.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 58.811, "architecture_energy": 63.907, "architecture_maturity": 9.999, "architecture_confidence": 89.198, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.49, "rotation_up": 65.21, "upward_expansion": 84.43, "deceleration": 49.06, "rotation_down": 11.59, "downward_expansion": 13.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.872297, 4.796659, 4.736835, 4.66844 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.86, "trend_reference": 4.520997, "distance_from_trend": 0.074984, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.456872, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.405895, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 18.242271, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.215, "excess_performance": 0.269667, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.074984, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.104568, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.405895, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006702, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.182423, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002344, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.215, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.15697, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 407636, "relative_activity": 0.794075, "balance": 2.15697, "dry_up": 0.941912, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040365, "annualized_volatility": 0.243439, "from_high_reference": -0.028, "from_low_reference": 0.557692 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.520997, "fair_value_reference": 3.456872, "structural_low": 3.85, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of 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"typical_volume": 513730.4, "trend": 4.382997, "fair_value": 3.436222, "relative_strength": 19.399089, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.111917, "energy": 21.760265, "activity_lines": [ 4.674429, 4.69211, 4.656977, 4.575063 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.9, "volume": 465812, "typical_volume": 492921.65, "trend": 4.429664, "fair_value": 3.443273, "relative_strength": 21.557244, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.618725, "energy": 37.009586, "activity_lines": [ 4.751768, 4.729566, 4.684358, 4.608418 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.98, "volume": 773957, "typical_volume": 504592.9, "trend": 4.479997, "fair_value": 3.450132, "relative_strength": 21.819277, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.217852, "energy": 61.306856, "activity_lines": [ 4.844947, 4.777385, 4.717454, 4.643924 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.86, "volume": 407636, "typical_volume": 513347.0, "trend": 4.520997, "fair_value": 3.456872, "relative_strength": 18.242271, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.810509, "energy": 63.906759, "activity_lines": [ 4.872297, 4.796659, 4.736835, 4.66844 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }