{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4459070f-c3a4-44cd-a345-b78d78471b81", "symbol": "600325", "name": "Zhuhai Huafa Properties Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.938, "architecture_energy": 51.504, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 67.064, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.51, "rotation_up": 27.39, "upward_expansion": 20.94, "deceleration": 66.98, "rotation_down": 45.81, "downward_expansion": 70.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.448, 2.438909, 2.669286, 2.95 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.46, "trend_reference": 3.344, "distance_from_trend": -0.264354, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.570532, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.55839, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -38.822505, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.422535, "excess_performance": -0.379331, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.264354, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.175407, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.55839, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.140007, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.388225, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.090521, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.422535, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.534448, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 292341216, "relative_activity": 1.369037, "balance": 0.534448, "dry_up": 1.515775, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108505, "annualized_volatility": 0.371523, "from_high_reference": -0.571429, "from_low_reference": 0.103139 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.344, "fair_value_reference": 5.570532, "structural_low": 2.23, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.036046, "positive_rate": 0.392857, "directional_follow_through": 0.607143, "median_excess_return": -0.032174, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.343693, "worst_return": -0.186782, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.042094, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.10225, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.205323, "worst_return": -0.299703, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.093979, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.219934, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.389734, "worst_return": -0.422535, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": -41.72489, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.321742, "energy": 66.902711, "activity_lines": [ 2.374, 2.448364, 2.76781, 3.069591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.55, "volume": 341618587, "typical_volume": 210150237.7, "trend": 3.402667, "fair_value": 5.609615, "relative_strength": -35.665782, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.762655, "energy": 60.626682, "activity_lines": [ 2.434, 2.449273, 2.719286, 3.010817 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.46, "volume": 292341216, "typical_volume": 213537854.75, "trend": 3.344, "fair_value": 5.570532, "relative_strength": -38.822505, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.93752, "energy": 51.503854, "activity_lines": [ 2.448, 2.438909, 2.669286, 2.95 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }