{ "ticker": { "uuid": "446de726-025f-45ba-baf5-f5fd7253df62", "symbol": "3558", "name": "Senao Networks, Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 7.066, "architecture_energy": 11.487, "architecture_maturity": 20.695, "architecture_confidence": 40.946, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 67.01, "rotation_up": 21.23, "upward_expansion": 28.31, "deceleration": 70.73, "rotation_down": 44.15, "downward_expansion": 22.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 126.966667, 129.927273, 129.357143, 127.509677 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 130.0, "trend_reference": 127.15, "distance_from_trend": 0.022414, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 176.389303, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.262994, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -33.052296, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.003831, "excess_performance": -0.445203, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.022414, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000656, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.262994, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087851, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.330523, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.123364, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.003831, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.604826, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 451142, "relative_activity": 0.308102, "balance": 2.604826, "dry_up": 0.337748, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108876, "annualized_volatility": 0.463326, "from_high_reference": -0.270684, "from_low_reference": 0.220657 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 127.15, "fair_value_reference": 176.389303, "structural_low": 106.5, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.012068, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.010291, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.318271, "worst_return": -0.123003, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.233248, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.186303, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.693467, "worst_return": -0.225685, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.016417, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.026197, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.982353, "worst_return": -0.193151, 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"direction": 41.028351, "energy": 25.468313, "activity_lines": [ 135.166667, 135.345455, 128.754762, 127.745161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 129.0, "volume": 537474, "typical_volume": 1498988.85, "trend": 127.466667, "fair_value": 179.345329, "relative_strength": -34.081714, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.901769, "energy": 21.013641, "activity_lines": [ 133.166667, 134.427273, 129.12619, 127.84086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 118.5, "volume": 676471, "typical_volume": 1502212.5, "trend": 127.1, "fair_value": 178.481119, "relative_strength": -37.562891, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.724549, "energy": 10.457044, "activity_lines": [ 128.0, 131.454545, 128.509524, 127.262366 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 128.0, "volume": 313119, "typical_volume": 1481738.55, "trend": 127.066667, "fair_value": 177.412201, "relative_strength": -33.043513, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 5.640009, "energy": 12.621016, "activity_lines": [ 126.933333, 130.363636, 128.845238, 127.32043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 130.0, "volume": 451142, "typical_volume": 1464260.4, "trend": 127.15, "fair_value": 176.389303, "relative_strength": -33.052296, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 7.065664, "energy": 11.487078, "activity_lines": [ 126.966667, 129.927273, 129.357143, 127.509677 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }