{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4477797a-9b16-497c-b29c-0b9f3eabdf0b", "symbol": "002600", "name": "Lingyi iTech (Guangdong) Company", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 88.672, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.746, "architecture_energy": 59.624, "architecture_maturity": 12.508, "architecture_confidence": 75.5, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.78, "rotation_up": 10.88, "upward_expansion": 12.71, "deceleration": 38.32, "rotation_down": 69.88, "downward_expansion": 81.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.496667, 13.739091, 14.374994, 14.423366 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 12.72, "trend_reference": 14.643332, "distance_from_trend": -0.131345, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.523722, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.335612, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.675068, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.130128, "excess_performance": -0.137528, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.131345, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007538, "read": "Falling" 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11.02, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.040541, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.004297, "regime_survival": 0.619048, "best_return": 0.412109, "worst_return": -0.14309, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.128848, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.053329, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.457281, "worst_return": -0.196748, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.208883, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.177394, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.655793, "worst_return": -0.147603, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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{ "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.4, "volume": 560208562, "typical_volume": 722458290.9, "trend": 14.736725, "fair_value": 9.483985, "relative_strength": -12.246985, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.125558, "energy": 47.564671, "activity_lines": [ 12.862, 14.08, 14.538383, 14.553477 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.72, "volume": 522519384, "typical_volume": 731421748.55, "trend": 14.643332, "fair_value": 9.523722, "relative_strength": -14.675068, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.745592, "energy": 59.624145, "activity_lines": [ 12.496667, 13.739091, 14.374994, 14.423366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }