{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4478673e-7c1d-48b8-9676-3626a6364051", "symbol": "AGS", "name": "The Hour Glass Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.038, "architecture_energy": 74.338, "architecture_maturity": 29.679, "architecture_confidence": 78.667, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.19, "rotation_up": 76.45, "upward_expansion": 94.3, "deceleration": 40.25, "rotation_down": 12.29, "downward_expansion": 16.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.723527, 2.670743, 2.59724, 2.535979 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 2.75, "trend_reference": 2.453199, "distance_from_trend": 0.120985, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.804539, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.523935, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.594007, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.233184, "excess_performance": 0.078349, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.120985, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062548, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.523935, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115455, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.00594, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060088, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.233184, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.575928, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1535200, "relative_activity": 3.022523, "balance": 2.575928, "dry_up": 1.740136, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045387, "annualized_volatility": 0.247089, "from_high_reference": -0.010791, "from_low_reference": 0.468135 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.453199, "fair_value_reference": 1.804539, "structural_low": 2.2, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"fair_value": 1.788036, "relative_strength": 1.24614, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.523734, "energy": 52.920876, "activity_lines": [ 2.615928, 2.587432, 2.52604, 2.474146 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.71, "volume": 813800, "typical_volume": 458025.0, "trend": 2.419866, "fair_value": 1.793326, "relative_strength": 1.22742, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.718769, "energy": 63.420588, "activity_lines": [ 2.65153, 2.615323, 2.548964, 2.493768 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.76, "volume": 766600, "typical_volume": 479990.0, "trend": 2.435865, "fair_value": 1.799052, "relative_strength": 2.275999, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.036786, "energy": 70.393195, "activity_lines": [ 2.695132, 2.646669, 2.574745, 2.515712 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.75, "volume": 1535200, "typical_volume": 507920.0, "trend": 2.453199, "fair_value": 1.804539, "relative_strength": 0.594007, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.037572, "energy": 74.337942, "activity_lines": [ 2.723527, 2.670743, 2.59724, 2.535979 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }