{ "ticker": { "uuid": "447dee53-b175-4401-9628-cf18bfff855e", "symbol": "6816", "name": "MetaEdge Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 95.018, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -28.809, "architecture_energy": 34.89, "architecture_maturity": 25.315, "architecture_confidence": 73.404, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.56, "rotation_up": 21.08, "upward_expansion": 23.02, "deceleration": 49.25, "rotation_down": 58.41, "downward_expansion": 50.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.266667, 36.864546, 37.381191, 37.341975 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 34.700001, "trend_reference": 37.169609, "distance_from_trend": -0.066442, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 43.368653, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.199883, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -35.60525, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.06735, "excess_performance": -0.508722, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.066442, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010304, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.199883, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075348, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.356053, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02736, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.06735, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.444056, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1080, "relative_activity": 0.039947, "balance": 0.444056, "dry_up": 0.80681, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074041, "annualized_volatility": 0.253874, "from_high_reference": -0.184963, "from_low_reference": 0.027606 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.169609, "fair_value_reference": 43.368653, "structural_low": 33.767803, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.005405, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.045251, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.092798, "worst_return": -0.074778, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.050752, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.151522, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.054054, "worst_return": -0.094247, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.033157, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.171089, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.192765, "worst_return": -0.079955, "sufficient": false }, { 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12679, "typical_volume": 26075.35, "trend": 37.265287, "fair_value": 43.617752, "relative_strength": -29.886545, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.525196, "energy": 13.571128, "activity_lines": [ 37.683334, 37.560909, 37.805524, 37.540645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.5, "volume": 8854, "typical_volume": 25440.6, "trend": 37.292361, "fair_value": 43.551391, "relative_strength": -28.0869, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.950853, "energy": 12.552112, "activity_lines": [ 37.673334, 37.518182, 37.7932, 37.555788 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.5, "volume": 64637, "typical_volume": 27885.15, "trend": 37.221738, "fair_value": 43.478061, "relative_strength": -30.886504, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.437158, "energy": 9.5987, "activity_lines": [ 37.23, 37.327273, 37.673023, 37.504668 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 34.700001, "volume": 1080, "typical_volume": 27035.5, "trend": 37.169609, "fair_value": 43.368653, "relative_strength": -35.60525, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.809261, "energy": 34.889801, "activity_lines": [ 36.266667, 36.864546, 37.381191, 37.341975 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }