{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4488387b-0c86-409c-9d0f-5a001f2543d2",
    "symbol": "AXTA",
    "name": "Axalta Coating Systems Ltd",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.715,
    "architecture_energy": 63.753,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.849,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.927,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.23,
        "rotation_up": 62.7,
        "upward_expansion": 82.26,
        "deceleration": 53.54,
        "rotation_down": 16.95,
        "downward_expansion": 11.26
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        35.310667,
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        32.894,
        31.971871
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 38.19,
    "trend_reference": 31.546,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.210613,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 32.369423,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.179817,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 9.961974,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.129547,
    "excess_performance": 0.003923,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.210613,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03537,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.179817,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.276175,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.09962,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.244652,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.129547,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.177728,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7323535,
      "relative_activity": 0.671717,
      "balance": 3.177728,
      "dry_up": 0.771796,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.065738,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.410885,
      "from_high_reference": -0.010878,
      "from_low_reference": 0.53149
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.546,
      "fair_value_reference": 32.369423,
      "structural_low": 24.9365,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.024204,
        "positive_rate": 0.368421,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.368421,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027426,
        "regime_survival": 0.578947,
        "best_return": 0.117415,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "regime_survival": 0.375,
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        "worst_return": -0.229231,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.183692,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      },
      {
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 12314261.2,
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        "fair_value": 32.260897,
        "relative_strength": -4.115489,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 36.235485,
        "energy": 57.103504,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 12212972.95,
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        "fair_value": 32.259038,
        "relative_strength": -2.940297,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.680126,
        "energy": 32.499976,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 32.76,
        "volume": 8196498,
        "typical_volume": 11661452.9,
        "trend": 31.28,
        "fair_value": 32.261667,
        "relative_strength": -0.992251,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.300522,
        "energy": 20.023274,
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          33.027333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 35.81,
        "volume": 9601893,
        "typical_volume": 11396413.3,
        "trend": 31.373667,
        "fair_value": 32.305641,
        "relative_strength": 6.928258,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.854178,
        "energy": 39.224068,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.816,
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          31.532108
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 38.19,
        "volume": 7323535,
        "typical_volume": 10902707.25,
        "trend": 31.546,
        "fair_value": 32.369423,
        "relative_strength": 9.961974,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.715343,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}