{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "449b342a-821a-4921-9258-5f9fd9b28236",
    "symbol": "HQH",
    "name": "abrdn Healthcare Investors",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.732,
    "architecture_energy": 68.389,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.704,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.668,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.1,
        "rotation_up": 70.49,
        "upward_expansion": 86.67,
        "deceleration": 62.35,
        "rotation_down": 19.42,
        "downward_expansion": 11.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        22.027333,
        21.628545,
        20.761371,
        20.090112
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 23.04,
    "trend_reference": 19.333663,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.191704,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 14.906584,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.545626,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 12.797857,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.274162,
    "excess_performance": 0.148537,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.191704,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063311,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.545626,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.173533,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.127979,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078776,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.274162,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.750318,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1143063,
      "relative_activity": 1.279556,
      "balance": 1.750318,
      "dry_up": 1.549671,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.041696,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.236815,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004752,
      "from_low_reference": 0.670267
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 19.333663,
      "fair_value_reference": 14.906584,
      "structural_low": 16.622406,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.019362,
        "positive_rate": 0.727273,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.727273,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003373,
        "regime_survival": 0.818182,
        "best_return": 0.099764,
        "worst_return": -0.104757,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.008915,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005774,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.172558,
        "worst_return": -0.05835,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.094052,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016654,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.132709,
        "worst_return": -0.049247,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.016759,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.052311,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.195594,
        "worst_return": -0.162077,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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      },
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 851403.35,
        "trend": 19.035956,
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        "relative_strength": 11.321144,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 21.84,
        "volume": 980850,
        "typical_volume": 860079.1,
        "trend": 19.172798,
        "fair_value": 14.834963,
        "relative_strength": 11.314717,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.548325,
        "energy": 62.229606,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.534667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 23.04,
        "volume": 1143063,
        "typical_volume": 893327.9,
        "trend": 19.333663,
        "fair_value": 14.906584,
        "relative_strength": 12.797857,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.732345,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}