{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "44a92c19-c471-4240-9a75-76be30ae1ab2",
    "symbol": "XCAD",
    "name": "Xtrackers MSCI Canada Screened UCITS ETF 1C",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 93.222,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.833,
    "architecture_energy": 78.126,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.117,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.399,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.01,
        "rotation_up": 71.21,
        "upward_expansion": 89.54,
        "deceleration": 46.05,
        "rotation_down": 14.88,
        "downward_expansion": 16.2
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        128.207333,
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        126.034619,
        124.588893
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 130.720001,
    "trend_reference": 122.861834,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.063959,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 93.565027,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.397103,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 2.757646,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.108877,
    "excess_performance": 0.057642,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063959,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036812,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.397103,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -7.1e-05,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027576,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031181,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108877,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 16.206442,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 41161,
      "relative_activity": 1.351593,
      "balance": 16.206442,
      "dry_up": 1.32204,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018299,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.138892,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002594,
      "from_low_reference": 0.283078
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 122.861834,
      "fair_value_reference": 93.565027,
      "structural_low": 110.989998,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": 0.009539,
        "positive_rate": 0.631579,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.631579,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001204,
        "regime_survival": 0.684211,
        "best_return": 0.105002,
        "worst_return": -0.070821,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007378,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.153973,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.030327,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.206268,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.054165,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2023-09-29",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 25496.85,
        "trend": 116.467641,
        "fair_value": 88.549482,
        "relative_strength": 5.682457,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "trend": 117.953334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 119.110334,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "trend": 121.058168,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 92.107527,
        "relative_strength": 3.594416,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 43.415489,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 128.014999,
        "volume": 8020,
        "typical_volume": 26564.45,
        "trend": 121.824001,
        "fair_value": 92.464707,
        "relative_strength": 3.836588,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.93262,
        "energy": 64.838423,
        "activity_lines": [
          126.499334,
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          123.43985
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 126.720001,
        "volume": 4417,
        "typical_volume": 25587.45,
        "trend": 122.113334,
        "fair_value": 92.814162,
        "relative_strength": 1.371974,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.4106,
        "energy": 59.317463,
        "activity_lines": [
          126.742668,
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          125.029215,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 126.754997,
        "volume": 107446,
        "typical_volume": 29952.4,
        "trend": 122.447501,
        "fair_value": 93.175668,
        "relative_strength": 0.050216,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.569371,
        "energy": 60.175503,
        "activity_lines": [
          126.860666,
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          125.364167,
          124.055183
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 130.720001,
        "volume": 41161,
        "typical_volume": 30453.7,
        "trend": 122.861834,
        "fair_value": 93.565027,
        "relative_strength": 2.757646,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.83311,
        "energy": 78.126172,
        "activity_lines": [
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          127.217,
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          124.588893
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}