{ "ticker": { "uuid": "44adb4a9-7e5a-4562-b5ec-83ffa50b8428", "symbol": "INDH", "name": "WISDOMTREE INDIA HEDGED EQUITY FUND", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 68.788, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -2.459, "architecture_energy": 5.042, "architecture_maturity": 16.453, "architecture_confidence": 71.35, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 65.24, "rotation_up": 27.88, "upward_expansion": 31.13, "deceleration": 42.38, "rotation_down": 22.77, "downward_expansion": 41.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.423547, 39.327185, 39.286433, 39.364348 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 39.8087, "trend_reference": 39.709993, "distance_from_trend": 0.002486, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 40.325246, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.012809, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.285352, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.047124, "excess_performance": -0.234577, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.002486, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024958, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.012809, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001232, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.142854, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046596, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.047124, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.755677, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8913, "relative_activity": 2.189738, "balance": 1.755677, "dry_up": 1.046839, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019447, "annualized_volatility": 0.136204, "from_high_reference": -0.068687, "from_low_reference": 0.072144 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 39.709993, "fair_value_reference": 40.325246, "structural_low": 37.13, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.02075, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.04743, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.015161, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.046213, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": 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"relative_strength": -11.175961, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.782486, "energy": 11.818675, "activity_lines": [ 39.249847, 39.199093, 39.222182, 39.362159 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.8087, "volume": 8913, "typical_volume": 4070.35, "trend": 39.709993, "fair_value": 40.325246, "relative_strength": -14.285352, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.459263, "energy": 5.042324, "activity_lines": [ 39.423547, 39.327185, 39.286433, 39.364348 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }