{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "44af0fd9-e5ef-40c0-a7ea-e7b6ac449727",
    "symbol": "EPRT",
    "name": "Essential Properties Realty Trust Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 53.603,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 5.5,
    "architecture_energy": 15.919,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.798,
    "architecture_confidence": 43.462,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.73,
        "rotation_up": 53.97,
        "upward_expansion": 41.14,
        "deceleration": 31.68,
        "rotation_down": 19.47,
        "downward_expansion": 16.14
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        31.544667,
        31.314556,
        31.06875,
        31.208313
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 30.63,
    "trend_reference": 31.304378,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.021543,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 28.120517,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.08924,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.034287,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.025425,
    "excess_performance": -0.15105,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021543,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010826,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08924,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.046906,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.110343,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011701,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025425,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.830679,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5965252,
      "relative_activity": 0.628837,
      "balance": 0.830679,
      "dry_up": 0.811763,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.04699,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.251421,
      "from_high_reference": -0.109048,
      "from_low_reference": 0.080073
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.304378,
      "fair_value_reference": 28.120517,
      "structural_low": 28.91997,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.009736,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009263,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.052531,
        "worst_return": -0.06908,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.043374,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.048345,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.128907,
        "worst_return": -0.037752,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.105526,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.042361,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.114616,
        "worst_return": -0.024509,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.236307,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.04565,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.446315,
        "worst_return": 0.026299,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.034894,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.015048,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.012618,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.011185,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003929,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.014752,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.019443,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.035692,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.054977,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.053288,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.019266,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.068954,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": -0.052876,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "direction": -2.252101,
        "energy": 6.338356,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 33.33,
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        "typical_volume": 9943348.3,
        "trend": 31.096184,
        "fair_value": 27.931228,
        "relative_strength": -0.00313,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 32.34,
        "volume": 11415480,
        "typical_volume": 10052222.35,
        "trend": 31.204654,
        "fair_value": 27.998062,
        "relative_strength": -2.259874,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.539386,
        "energy": 35.754165,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 31.29,
        "volume": 6966165,
        "typical_volume": 9880031.95,
        "trend": 31.255782,
        "fair_value": 28.062007,
        "relative_strength": -6.205553,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.622971,
        "energy": 33.498639,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.956,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 30.63,
        "volume": 5965252,
        "typical_volume": 9486166.1,
        "trend": 31.304378,
        "fair_value": 28.120517,
        "relative_strength": -11.034287,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 5.499509,
        "energy": 15.919059,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}