{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "44b97286-9af4-41f5-aa34-18a222632e0b",
    "symbol": "SZU",
    "name": "S\u00fcdzucker AG",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 75.043,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 37.871,
    "architecture_energy": 30.117,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.208,
    "architecture_confidence": 44.435,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.04,
        "rotation_up": 56.73,
        "upward_expansion": 64.57,
        "deceleration": 64.29,
        "rotation_down": 8.65,
        "downward_expansion": 7.9
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.409333,
        11.254545,
        11.343286,
        11.230473
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 11.26,
    "trend_reference": 10.927833,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.030396,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 11.252498,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.000667,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.366281,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.165631,
    "excess_performance": -0.008615,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030396,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056663,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000667,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004682,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.113663,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.06075,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.165631,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 9.853027,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 291,
      "relative_activity": 0.134919,
      "balance": 9.853027,
      "dry_up": 0.256624,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045498,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.371705,
      "from_high_reference": -0.167775,
      "from_low_reference": 0.256696
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.927833,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.252498,
      "structural_low": 9.21,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.03949,
        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.363636,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001654,
        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
        "best_return": 0.183581,
        "worst_return": -0.067669,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.022211,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.038335,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.243624,
        "worst_return": -0.098865,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.044054,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.113412,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.055241,
        "worst_return": -0.181449,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.146138,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.277814,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.107888,
        "worst_return": -0.156514,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-07-05",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.01871,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "return": -0.004934,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 12.34,
        "volume": 5416,
        "typical_volume": 2116.2,
        "trend": 10.098667,
        "fair_value": 11.556644,
        "relative_strength": 2.672265,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.101354,
        "energy": 72.661546,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.983333,
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          10.848667,
          10.473871
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 11.48,
        "volume": 800,
        "typical_volume": 2043.7,
        "trend": 10.158833,
        "fair_value": 11.526283,
        "relative_strength": -5.29125,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.934432,
        "energy": 49.262309,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.786667,
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          10.960333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 11.9,
        "volume": 14977,
        "typical_volume": 2792.55,
        "trend": 10.223333,
        "fair_value": 11.499737,
        "relative_strength": -0.965326,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.867752,
        "energy": 46.131306,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.813333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 11.68,
        "volume": 1634,
        "typical_volume": 2844.25,
        "trend": 10.282667,
        "fair_value": 11.483448,
        "relative_strength": -4.339141,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.878902,
        "energy": 41.642815,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.778667,
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          10.769301
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 11.36,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2736.75,
        "trend": 10.341833,
        "fair_value": 11.466006,
        "relative_strength": -8.912524,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.44554,
        "energy": 29.149259,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.634667,
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          10.838806
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 11.32,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2616.45,
        "trend": 10.3995,
        "fair_value": 11.445783,
        "relative_strength": -7.75525,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.027471,
        "energy": 25.727898,
        "activity_lines": [
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          10.901914
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 11.34,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2616.45,
        "trend": 10.4595,
        "fair_value": 11.423444,
        "relative_strength": -9.593941,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.842252,
        "energy": 18.478211,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 10.72,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2512.55,
        "trend": 10.498167,
        "fair_value": 11.398758,
        "relative_strength": -17.377024,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 19.604619,
        "energy": 16.640952,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 10.5,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2486.05,
        "trend": 10.525667,
        "fair_value": 11.374344,
        "relative_strength": -16.863121,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -2.098849,
        "energy": 14.526826,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.893333,
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          11.288024,
          10.979516
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 10.84,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2486.05,
        "trend": 10.562833,
        "fair_value": 11.347959,
        "relative_strength": -15.557446,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 4.499275,
        "energy": 20.49898,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.824,
          11.099636,
          11.266024,
          10.999796
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 11.1,
        "volume": 3402,
        "typical_volume": 2439.25,
        "trend": 10.613,
        "fair_value": 11.323106,
        "relative_strength": -11.948434,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 4.064155,
        "energy": 19.598598,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.876,
          11.054545,
          11.264667,
          11.034452
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 11.84,
        "volume": 1800,
        "typical_volume": 2328.95,
        "trend": 10.702,
        "fair_value": 11.305747,
        "relative_strength": -3.959206,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.398817,
        "energy": 19.015045,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.189333,
          11.166545,
          11.327262,
          11.113613
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.54,
        "volume": 123,
        "typical_volume": 2335.1,
        "trend": 10.785667,
        "fair_value": 11.287342,
        "relative_strength": -7.278849,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.241764,
        "energy": 25.823707,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.369333,
          11.217455,
          11.353429,
          11.167677
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 11.36,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2258.7,
        "trend": 10.861,
        "fair_value": 11.268076,
        "relative_strength": -8.296339,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.496819,
        "energy": 29.504317,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.434667,
          11.242182,
          11.355833,
          11.204731
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.26,
        "volume": 291,
        "typical_volume": 2156.85,
        "trend": 10.927833,
        "fair_value": 11.252498,
        "relative_strength": -11.366281,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.871383,
        "energy": 30.117146,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.409333,
          11.254545,
          11.343286,
          11.230473
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}